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Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices

When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity on that time scale. We can then study time evolution by loo...

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Autores principales: Vyas, Manan, Guhr, T., Seligman, T. H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6168610/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30279589
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-32891-4
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author Vyas, Manan
Guhr, T.
Seligman, T. H.
author_facet Vyas, Manan
Guhr, T.
Seligman, T. H.
author_sort Vyas, Manan
collection PubMed
description When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity on that time scale. We can then study time evolution by looking at properties as a function of the epochs. This leads to singular correlation matrices and thus poor statistics. In the present paper, we propose an ensemble technique to deal with a large set of short time series without any consideration of non-stationarity. Given a singular data matrix, we randomly select subsets of time series and thus create an ensemble of non-singular correlation matrices. As the selection possibilities are binomially large, we will obtain good statistics for eigenvalues of correlation matrices, which are typically not independent. Once we defined the ensemble, we analyze its behavior for constant and block-diagonal correlations and compare numerics with analytic results for the corresponding correlated Wishart ensembles. We discuss differences resulting from spurious correlations due to repetitive use of time-series. The usefulness of this technique should extend beyond the stationary case if, on the time scale of the epochs, we have quasi-stationarity at least for most epochs.
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spelling pubmed-61686102018-10-05 Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices Vyas, Manan Guhr, T. Seligman, T. H. Sci Rep Article When dealing with non-stationary systems, for which many time series are available, it is common to divide time in epochs, i.e. smaller time intervals and deal with short time series in the hope to have some form of approximate stationarity on that time scale. We can then study time evolution by looking at properties as a function of the epochs. This leads to singular correlation matrices and thus poor statistics. In the present paper, we propose an ensemble technique to deal with a large set of short time series without any consideration of non-stationarity. Given a singular data matrix, we randomly select subsets of time series and thus create an ensemble of non-singular correlation matrices. As the selection possibilities are binomially large, we will obtain good statistics for eigenvalues of correlation matrices, which are typically not independent. Once we defined the ensemble, we analyze its behavior for constant and block-diagonal correlations and compare numerics with analytic results for the corresponding correlated Wishart ensembles. We discuss differences resulting from spurious correlations due to repetitive use of time-series. The usefulness of this technique should extend beyond the stationary case if, on the time scale of the epochs, we have quasi-stationarity at least for most epochs. Nature Publishing Group UK 2018-10-02 /pmc/articles/PMC6168610/ /pubmed/30279589 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-32891-4 Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Vyas, Manan
Guhr, T.
Seligman, T. H.
Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title_full Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title_fullStr Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title_full_unstemmed Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title_short Multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
title_sort multivariate analysis of short time series in terms of ensembles of correlation matrices
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6168610/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30279589
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-018-32891-4
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