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Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations

We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Wu, Ke, Wheatley, Spencer, Sornette, Didier
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: The Royal Society 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6170580/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30839686
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381
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author Wu, Ke
Wheatley, Spencer
Sornette, Didier
author_facet Wu, Ke
Wheatley, Spencer
Sornette, Didier
author_sort Wu, Ke
collection PubMed
description We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this, based on a simple proportional growth with birth and death model previously employed to describe the size distribution of firms, cities, webpages, etc. We empirically validate the model and its main predictions, in terms of proportional growth (Gibrat's Law) of the coins and tokens. Estimating the main parameters of the model, the theoretical predictions for the power-law exponents of coin and token distributions are in remarkable agreement with the empirical estimations, given the simplicity of the model. Our results clearly characterize coins as being ‘entrenched incumbents’ and tokens as an ‘explosive immature ecosystem’, largely due to massive and exuberant Initial Coin Offering activity in the token space. The theory predicts that the exponent for tokens should converge to 1 in the future, reflecting a more reasonable rate of new entrants associated with genuine technological innovations.
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spelling pubmed-61705802018-10-18 Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations Wu, Ke Wheatley, Spencer Sornette, Didier R Soc Open Sci Physics We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this, based on a simple proportional growth with birth and death model previously employed to describe the size distribution of firms, cities, webpages, etc. We empirically validate the model and its main predictions, in terms of proportional growth (Gibrat's Law) of the coins and tokens. Estimating the main parameters of the model, the theoretical predictions for the power-law exponents of coin and token distributions are in remarkable agreement with the empirical estimations, given the simplicity of the model. Our results clearly characterize coins as being ‘entrenched incumbents’ and tokens as an ‘explosive immature ecosystem’, largely due to massive and exuberant Initial Coin Offering activity in the token space. The theory predicts that the exponent for tokens should converge to 1 in the future, reflecting a more reasonable rate of new entrants associated with genuine technological innovations. The Royal Society 2018-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC6170580/ /pubmed/30839686 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381 Text en © 2018 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Physics
Wu, Ke
Wheatley, Spencer
Sornette, Didier
Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title_full Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title_fullStr Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title_full_unstemmed Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title_short Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
title_sort classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
topic Physics
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6170580/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30839686
http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381
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