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Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations
We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6170580/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30839686 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381 |
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author | Wu, Ke Wheatley, Spencer Sornette, Didier |
author_facet | Wu, Ke Wheatley, Spencer Sornette, Didier |
author_sort | Wu, Ke |
collection | PubMed |
description | We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this, based on a simple proportional growth with birth and death model previously employed to describe the size distribution of firms, cities, webpages, etc. We empirically validate the model and its main predictions, in terms of proportional growth (Gibrat's Law) of the coins and tokens. Estimating the main parameters of the model, the theoretical predictions for the power-law exponents of coin and token distributions are in remarkable agreement with the empirical estimations, given the simplicity of the model. Our results clearly characterize coins as being ‘entrenched incumbents’ and tokens as an ‘explosive immature ecosystem’, largely due to massive and exuberant Initial Coin Offering activity in the token space. The theory predicts that the exponent for tokens should converge to 1 in the future, reflecting a more reasonable rate of new entrants associated with genuine technological innovations. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6170580 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | The Royal Society |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-61705802018-10-18 Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations Wu, Ke Wheatley, Spencer Sornette, Didier R Soc Open Sci Physics We empirically verify that the market capitalizations of coins and tokens in the cryptocurrency universe follow power-law distributions with significantly different values for the tail exponent falling between 0.5 and 0.7 for coins, and between 1.0 and 1.3 for tokens. We provide a rationale for this, based on a simple proportional growth with birth and death model previously employed to describe the size distribution of firms, cities, webpages, etc. We empirically validate the model and its main predictions, in terms of proportional growth (Gibrat's Law) of the coins and tokens. Estimating the main parameters of the model, the theoretical predictions for the power-law exponents of coin and token distributions are in remarkable agreement with the empirical estimations, given the simplicity of the model. Our results clearly characterize coins as being ‘entrenched incumbents’ and tokens as an ‘explosive immature ecosystem’, largely due to massive and exuberant Initial Coin Offering activity in the token space. The theory predicts that the exponent for tokens should converge to 1 in the future, reflecting a more reasonable rate of new entrants associated with genuine technological innovations. The Royal Society 2018-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC6170580/ /pubmed/30839686 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381 Text en © 2018 The Authors. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ Published by the Royal Society under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/, which permits unrestricted use, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Physics Wu, Ke Wheatley, Spencer Sornette, Didier Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title | Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title_full | Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title_fullStr | Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title_full_unstemmed | Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title_short | Classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
title_sort | classification of cryptocurrency coins and tokens by the dynamics of their market capitalizations |
topic | Physics |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6170580/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30839686 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.180381 |
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