Trends of incidence and survival in patients with gastrointestinal mucinous adenocarcinoma

The epidemiology and clinical outcome of gastrointestinal mucinous adenocarcinoma (MA) are not well illustrated. The present study aimed to explore the evolving epidemiology and prognostic factors that affect the survival of patients with MA in the gastrointestinal tract. A retrospective and population-based study was conducted to determine the annual age-adjusted incidence, overall survival (OS) and survival trend of gastrointestinal mucinous MA using nationally representative data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) program between 2000 and 2014. A Kaplan-Meier curve and a Cox proportional regression model were used to evaluate prognostic factors for this disease. Of the 51632 cases, females accounted for 50.5% (26058). The annual incidence of MA steadily decreased from 2000 to 2014. This trend occurred across all stages, grades and sites, apart from the appendix. In the SEER 18 registry grouping (2000–2014), the highest incidence was 3.333 per 100,000 persons for the colon. The median OS varied significantly between different primary sites, stages, grades, and age of clinical diagnosis, and the time period of diagnosis, according to a multivariable analysis. The five-year OS of gastrointestinal MA improved gradually between 2000 and 2014. The improvement in survival over the same interval was more pronounced in the subgroup of distant gastrointestinal MA. All sites along the alimentary tract, with the exception of the appendix, showed a decrease in the incidence of MA. Improved survival rates were observed for most of the gastrointestinal tract, especially for patients with advanced stage disease. MA in the upper gastrointestinal tract was less frequent but had poorer survival than colorectal MA. Clinicians should consider the primary tumour site when making therapeutic guidelines and treatment decisions for gastrointestinal MA.