Value of DNA methylation in predicting curve progression in patients with adolescent idiopathic scoliosis

BACKGROUND: There is considerable discordance in the curve progression of adolescent idiopathic scoliosis (AIS) patients between monozygotic (MZ) twins, indicating that nongenetic factors must be involved in the curve progression of AIS patients. Epigenetic processes may constitute one of these factors and have not yet been investigated in relation to curve progression in AIS patients. METHODS: The genome and methylome of peripheral monocytes were compared between MZ twins discordant for curve progression. Sets of differentially methylated sites were validated using the MassARRAY platform of Sequenome on additional samples. RESULTS: In the discovery study, we found evidence suggesting a lack of differences at the genome sequence level and the presence of epigenetic differences related to the curve progression of AIS patients. The top 4 differentially methylated CpG sites associated with curve severity were tested, and only site cg01374129 (CpG site located at chr8:122583383, Hg19) was confirmed in two replication cohorts. The methylation levels of site cg01374129 were significantly lower in the progression group than in the nonprogression group. Cox regression analysis demonstrated that hypo-methylation of site cg01374129 was an independent prognostic factor for curve severity. Site cg01374129 methylation as a marker achieved a sensitivity of 76.4% and a specificity of 85.6% in differentiating between samples from patients with and without curve progression (AUC = 0.827; 95% CI: 0.780 to 0.876). CONCLUSION: Increased curvature is associated with decreased methylation at site cg01374129. Our results indicate that methylation of site cg01374129 may therefore serve as a promising biomarker in differing between patients with and without curve progression.