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Real Time Forecasting of Measles Using Generation-dependent Mathematical Model in Japan, 2018

Background: Japan experienced a multi-generation outbreak of measles from March to May, 2018. The present study aimed to capture the transmission dynamics of measles by employing a simple mathematical model, and also forecast the future incidence of cases. Methods: Epidemiological data that consist...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales:	Akhmetzhanov, Andrei R., Lee, Hyojung, Jung, Sung-mok, Kinoshita, Ryo, Shimizu, Kazuki, Yoshii, Keita, Nishiura, Hiroshi
Formato:	Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:	English
Publicado:	Public Library of Science 2018
Materias:	Research Article
Acceso en línea:	https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6198657/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30393578 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/currents.outbreaks.3cc277d133e2d6078912800748dbb492

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