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489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection

BACKGROUND: The SHEA/IDSA clinical practice guidelines suggest using leukocytosis (WBC ≥15,000 cells/µl) and serum creatinine (SCr) to identify severe cases of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). It is unclear whether these criteria adequately predict poor outcomes among patients with CDI in the...

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Autores principales: Stevens, Vanessa, Jones, Makoto, Nelson, Richard E, Khader, Karim, Samore, Matthew, Rubin, Michael
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Oxford University Press 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6254106/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofy210.498
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author Stevens, Vanessa
Jones, Makoto
Nelson, Richard E
Khader, Karim
Samore, Matthew
Rubin, Michael
author_facet Stevens, Vanessa
Jones, Makoto
Nelson, Richard E
Khader, Karim
Samore, Matthew
Rubin, Michael
author_sort Stevens, Vanessa
collection PubMed
description BACKGROUND: The SHEA/IDSA clinical practice guidelines suggest using leukocytosis (WBC ≥15,000 cells/µl) and serum creatinine (SCr) to identify severe cases of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). It is unclear whether these criteria adequately predict poor outcomes among patients with CDI in the inpatient and outpatient settings METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients with CDI in the Veterans Affairs Health System from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2016. Patients were included the first time they had a positive laboratory test indicating toxin or toxin genes from a stool sample and were followed for poor outcomes - defined as hospital or intensive care unit admission within 7 days of diagnosis, colectomy within 14 days of diagnosis, or 30-day all-cause mortality. Severity was defined according to the 2010 and 2018 versions of the criteria. For the 2010 criteria, patients with leukocytosis or a serum creatinine 1.5 times or more than the baseline were classified as severe. For the 2018 criteria, patients with leukocytosis or a SCr value ≥1.5 mg/dL were classified as severe. Maximum WBC and SCr values were assessed within 3 days prior to diagnosis. Baseline SCr was calculated as the average of SCr levels from 4 to 90 days prior to diagnosis. Poor outcome was modeled as a function of the 2010 and 2018 severity criteria separately using logistic regression. Criteria were assessed using the sensitivity (Sn), false negative (FN) rate, positive predictive value (PPV), and the area under the curve (AUC) RESULTS: We analyzed data from 86,112 episodes of CDI. According to the 2010 and 2018 criteria, 29.9% and 44.0% of episodes would be classified as severe. Severity could not be determined due to missing data in 16.3% and 15.0% of episodes, respectively. Seventy-five% of unclassified episodes were among outpatients. The 2018 severity criteria had a higher Sn (65.2% vs. 48.4%) but lower PPV (28.5% vs. 30.7%) than the 2010 criteria. The FN rate was lower for the 2018 criteria (34.8% vs. 51.6%), and AUCs were poor and similar (.587 vs. .582) CONCLUSION: Although the 2018 CDI severity criteria would allow for classification of more cases and result in fewer false negatives, the performance remains poor. More work is needed to develop criteria to reliably and prospectively identify patients at risk of poor outcomes DISCLOSURES: All authors: No reported disclosures.
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spelling pubmed-62541062018-11-28 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection Stevens, Vanessa Jones, Makoto Nelson, Richard E Khader, Karim Samore, Matthew Rubin, Michael Open Forum Infect Dis Abstracts BACKGROUND: The SHEA/IDSA clinical practice guidelines suggest using leukocytosis (WBC ≥15,000 cells/µl) and serum creatinine (SCr) to identify severe cases of Clostridium difficile infection (CDI). It is unclear whether these criteria adequately predict poor outcomes among patients with CDI in the inpatient and outpatient settings METHODS: Retrospective cohort study of patients with CDI in the Veterans Affairs Health System from January 1, 2006 to December 31, 2016. Patients were included the first time they had a positive laboratory test indicating toxin or toxin genes from a stool sample and were followed for poor outcomes - defined as hospital or intensive care unit admission within 7 days of diagnosis, colectomy within 14 days of diagnosis, or 30-day all-cause mortality. Severity was defined according to the 2010 and 2018 versions of the criteria. For the 2010 criteria, patients with leukocytosis or a serum creatinine 1.5 times or more than the baseline were classified as severe. For the 2018 criteria, patients with leukocytosis or a SCr value ≥1.5 mg/dL were classified as severe. Maximum WBC and SCr values were assessed within 3 days prior to diagnosis. Baseline SCr was calculated as the average of SCr levels from 4 to 90 days prior to diagnosis. Poor outcome was modeled as a function of the 2010 and 2018 severity criteria separately using logistic regression. Criteria were assessed using the sensitivity (Sn), false negative (FN) rate, positive predictive value (PPV), and the area under the curve (AUC) RESULTS: We analyzed data from 86,112 episodes of CDI. According to the 2010 and 2018 criteria, 29.9% and 44.0% of episodes would be classified as severe. Severity could not be determined due to missing data in 16.3% and 15.0% of episodes, respectively. Seventy-five% of unclassified episodes were among outpatients. The 2018 severity criteria had a higher Sn (65.2% vs. 48.4%) but lower PPV (28.5% vs. 30.7%) than the 2010 criteria. The FN rate was lower for the 2018 criteria (34.8% vs. 51.6%), and AUCs were poor and similar (.587 vs. .582) CONCLUSION: Although the 2018 CDI severity criteria would allow for classification of more cases and result in fewer false negatives, the performance remains poor. More work is needed to develop criteria to reliably and prospectively identify patients at risk of poor outcomes DISCLOSURES: All authors: No reported disclosures. Oxford University Press 2018-11-26 /pmc/articles/PMC6254106/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofy210.498 Text en © The Author(s) 2018. Published by Oxford University Press on behalf of Infectious Diseases Society of America. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ This is an Open Access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivs licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/), which permits non-commercial reproduction and distribution of the work, in any medium, provided the original work is not altered or transformed in any way, and that the work is properly cited. For commercial re-use, please contact journals.permissions@oup.com
spellingShingle Abstracts
Stevens, Vanessa
Jones, Makoto
Nelson, Richard E
Khader, Karim
Samore, Matthew
Rubin, Michael
489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title_full 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title_fullStr 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title_full_unstemmed 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title_short 489. Validation of the SHEA/IDSA Severity Criteria to Predict Poor Outcomes Among Inpatients and Outpatients With Clostridium difficile Infection
title_sort 489. validation of the shea/idsa severity criteria to predict poor outcomes among inpatients and outpatients with clostridium difficile infection
topic Abstracts
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6254106/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1093/ofid/ofy210.498
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