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Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth

The multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: DeSantis, Mark, Swigon, David
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6264481/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30496215
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764
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author DeSantis, Mark
Swigon, David
author_facet DeSantis, Mark
Swigon, David
author_sort DeSantis, Mark
collection PubMed
description The multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market in situations when the trading rates of investors (i.e., their desire to exchange stock for cash) are prescribed ahead of time and independent of the state of the market. Under the assumption of fast trading compared to the time-rate of change in the prescribed trading rates we decompose the dynamics of the system to fast and slow components. We use the model to derive a variety of observations regarding the dynamics of price and investors’ wealth, and the dependence of these quantities on the prescribed trading rates. In particular, we show that strategies with constant trading rates, which represent the well-known constant-rebalanced portfolio (CRP) strategies, are optimal in the sense that they minimize investment risks. In contrast, we show that investors pursuing non-CRP strategies are at risk of loss of wealth, as a result of the slow system not being integrable in the sense that cyclic trading rates do not always result in periodic price variations.
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spelling pubmed-62644812018-12-19 Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth DeSantis, Mark Swigon, David PLoS One Research Article The multi-group asset flow model is a nonlinear dynamical system originally developed as a tool for understanding the behavioral foundations of market phenomena such as flash crashes and price bubbles. In this paper we use a modification of this model to analyze the dynamics of a single-asset market in situations when the trading rates of investors (i.e., their desire to exchange stock for cash) are prescribed ahead of time and independent of the state of the market. Under the assumption of fast trading compared to the time-rate of change in the prescribed trading rates we decompose the dynamics of the system to fast and slow components. We use the model to derive a variety of observations regarding the dynamics of price and investors’ wealth, and the dependence of these quantities on the prescribed trading rates. In particular, we show that strategies with constant trading rates, which represent the well-known constant-rebalanced portfolio (CRP) strategies, are optimal in the sense that they minimize investment risks. In contrast, we show that investors pursuing non-CRP strategies are at risk of loss of wealth, as a result of the slow system not being integrable in the sense that cyclic trading rates do not always result in periodic price variations. Public Library of Science 2018-11-29 /pmc/articles/PMC6264481/ /pubmed/30496215 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764 Text en © 2018 DeSantis, Swigon http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
DeSantis, Mark
Swigon, David
Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title_full Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title_fullStr Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title_full_unstemmed Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title_short Slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
title_sort slow-fast analysis of a multi-group asset flow model with implications for the dynamics of wealth
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6264481/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30496215
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0207764
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