Cargando…
Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models
Quantitative modelling is commonly used to assist the policy dimension of sustainability problems. Validation is an important step to make models credible and useful. To investigate existing validation viewpoints and approaches, we analyse a broad academic literature and conduct a survey among pract...
Autores principales: | , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2018
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6299083/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30560876 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07811-9 |
_version_ | 1783381413710528512 |
---|---|
author | Eker, Sibel Rovenskaya, Elena Obersteiner, Michael Langan, Simon |
author_facet | Eker, Sibel Rovenskaya, Elena Obersteiner, Michael Langan, Simon |
author_sort | Eker, Sibel |
collection | PubMed |
description | Quantitative modelling is commonly used to assist the policy dimension of sustainability problems. Validation is an important step to make models credible and useful. To investigate existing validation viewpoints and approaches, we analyse a broad academic literature and conduct a survey among practitioners. We find that empirical data plays an important role in the validation practice in all main areas of sustainability science. Qualitative and participatory approaches that can enhance usefulness and public reliability are much less visible. Data-oriented validation is prevalent even when models are used for scenario exploration. Usefulness regarding a given task is more important for model developers than for users. As the experience of modellers and users increases, they tend to better acknowledge the decision makers’ demand for clear communication of assumptions and uncertainties. These findings provide a reflection on current validation practices and are expected to facilitate communication at the modelling and decision-making interface. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6299083 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-62990832018-12-20 Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models Eker, Sibel Rovenskaya, Elena Obersteiner, Michael Langan, Simon Nat Commun Article Quantitative modelling is commonly used to assist the policy dimension of sustainability problems. Validation is an important step to make models credible and useful. To investigate existing validation viewpoints and approaches, we analyse a broad academic literature and conduct a survey among practitioners. We find that empirical data plays an important role in the validation practice in all main areas of sustainability science. Qualitative and participatory approaches that can enhance usefulness and public reliability are much less visible. Data-oriented validation is prevalent even when models are used for scenario exploration. Usefulness regarding a given task is more important for model developers than for users. As the experience of modellers and users increases, they tend to better acknowledge the decision makers’ demand for clear communication of assumptions and uncertainties. These findings provide a reflection on current validation practices and are expected to facilitate communication at the modelling and decision-making interface. Nature Publishing Group UK 2018-12-18 /pmc/articles/PMC6299083/ /pubmed/30560876 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07811-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/. |
spellingShingle | Article Eker, Sibel Rovenskaya, Elena Obersteiner, Michael Langan, Simon Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title | Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title_full | Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title_fullStr | Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title_full_unstemmed | Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title_short | Practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
title_sort | practice and perspectives in the validation of resource management models |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6299083/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30560876 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07811-9 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ekersibel practiceandperspectivesinthevalidationofresourcemanagementmodels AT rovenskayaelena practiceandperspectivesinthevalidationofresourcemanagementmodels AT obersteinermichael practiceandperspectivesinthevalidationofresourcemanagementmodels AT langansimon practiceandperspectivesinthevalidationofresourcemanagementmodels |