Baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT as predictor of the pathological response to neoadjuvant therapy in esophageal cancer: A retrospective study

The type of pathological response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer predicts overall survival (OS). We aimed to assess early 18F-FDG positron emission tomography/computed tomography parameters in predicting the pathological response to neoadjuvant treatment. The cohort included consecutive patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer who underwent baseline 18F-FDG positron emission tomography/computed tomography between September 2006 and February 2015. Positron emission tomography variables of maximum and average standardized uptake values (SUVmax, SUVaverage), metabolic tumor volume (MTV), and total lesion glycolysis were recorded in addition to computed tomography volume. MTV was calculated using cut-off values of 42%, 50% and 60% (MTV 0.42, 0.5, and 0.6) of the tumoral SUVmax. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis was used to determine sensitivity and specificity. Sixty-one patients (44 male, 17 female) fulfilled the inclusion criteria. Only MTV values of 13.6 mL (MTV 0.42) and 7.4 mL (MTV 0.5) remained significant on ROC analysis, with an area under the curve of 0.690 (confidence interval 0.557–0.823, p = .02] and 0.664 (confidence interval 0.527–0.802, P = .048), respectively in differentiating patients with a complete (n = 44) or incomplete (n = 17) pathological response. MTV at presentation is associated with the pathological response to neoadjuvant chemoradiation in patients with locally advanced esophageal cancer.