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The effect of the infection within the individual host on its propagation in the population

We consider nested or multiscale models to study the effect of the temporal evolution of the disease within the host in the population dynamics of the disease, for one and two infectious agents. We assumed a coupling between the within-host infection rate and the between-host transmission rate. The...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Azevedo, Franciane, Amaku, Marcos, Coutinho, Francisco Antonio Bezerra, Lopez, Luis Fernandez, Massad, Eduardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: KeAi Publishing 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6326235/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30839922
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.idm.2018.11.002
Descripción
Sumario:We consider nested or multiscale models to study the effect of the temporal evolution of the disease within the host in the population dynamics of the disease, for one and two infectious agents. We assumed a coupling between the within-host infection rate and the between-host transmission rate. The age of infection within each individual in a population affects the probability of transmission of the disease to a susceptible host and this will affect the temporal evolution of the disease in the host population. To analyze the infection within the host, we consider bacterial-like and viral-like infections. In the model for two infectious agents, we found that, when strain 2 has a basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] greater than the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] of strain 1, strain 2 replaces strain 1 in the population. However, if [Formula: see text] but the values are closer, the replacement does not occur immediately and both strains can coexist for a long time. We applied the model to a scenario in which patients infected with the hepatitis C virus (HCV) are cleared of HCV when super-infected with the hepatitis A virus (HAV). We compared the time for the replacement of HCV by HAV in the population considering instantaneous and non-instantaneous replacement within the individuals. The model developed can be generalized for more than two infectious agents.