Decreased liver stiffness by transient elastography indicates lower incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B

The prognositc value of dynamic liver stiffness (LS) variation on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) remains to be explored. We aim to compare HCC incidence in patients with compensated CHB-related cirrhosis with increased and decreased LS after nucleos(t)ide analog (NA) regimens. A total of 168 patients with CHB-related compensated cirrhosis were divided into groups according to LS variation post to NA treatment. The laboratory results of 2 groups were reviewed and investigated. The probability of HCC development among each group was analyzed and compared. A total of 168 patients with CHB with compensated cirrhosis received NA treatment and Fibroscan. Child–Pugh score, alanine aminotransferase, total bilirubin level, status of hepatitis B e antigen, and serum hepatitis B virus DNA level were compared between groups. The cumulative probability of HCC development in patients with decreased LS was significantly lower than in patients with increased LS (P < .05). Multi-variant analysis indicated that decreased LS was significantly associated with lower probability of HCC development (hazard ratio, 0.65; 95% confidence interval range, 0.33–0.84, P < .05). Decreased LS after NA treatment indicates a lower HCC incidence in patients with CHB with compensated cirrhosis.