Assessment of incidence and various demographic risk factors of traumatic humeral shaft fractures in China

As a sub-study of the China National Fracture Study, this study aimed to better determine the incidence and risk factors of humeral shaft fracture in mainland China. We obtained all the data on humeral shaft fracture from the China National Fracture Study reported in 2017. Trained research teams personally interviewed all qualifying household members using a standardised questionnaire. A total of 512,187 (259649 boys and men, 252538 girls and women) questionnaires were collected and analysed from 112 neighbourhood communities and 223 administrative villages using stratified random sampling and the probability proportional to size method. The population-weighted incidence rate of humeral shaft fracture was 7.22 (95% confidence interval 4.90, 9.55) per 100,000 populations in 2014. Previous fracture history was an independent risk factor in adults of both sexes. Smoking was identified as an independent risk factor for humeral shaft fracture for men. Alcohol consumption and menstruation ceasing before the age of 46 years were considered as independent risk factors for women. Given the above data, specific public-health policies focusing on promoting a smoke-free environment and reducing alcohol intake should be encouraged. People who have had a fracture and women whose menstruation had ceased before the age of 46 should be vigilant against humeral shaft fracture.