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Boundedly rational expected utility theory

We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence...

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Autores principales: Navarro-Martinez, Daniel, Loomes, Graham, Isoni, Andrea, Butler, David, Alaoui, Larbi
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer US 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6383980/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30872896
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3
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author Navarro-Martinez, Daniel
Loomes, Graham
Isoni, Andrea
Butler, David
Alaoui, Larbi
author_facet Navarro-Martinez, Daniel
Loomes, Graham
Isoni, Andrea
Butler, David
Alaoui, Larbi
author_sort Navarro-Martinez, Daniel
collection PubMed
description We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence favouring one option satisfies her desired level of confidence. Despite its EUT core, the model produces patterns of behaviour that violate standard EUT axioms, while at the same time capturing systematic relationships between choice probabilities, response times and confidence judgments, which are beyond the scope of theories that do not take deliberation into account. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
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spelling pubmed-63839802019-03-12 Boundedly rational expected utility theory Navarro-Martinez, Daniel Loomes, Graham Isoni, Andrea Butler, David Alaoui, Larbi J Risk Uncertain Article We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence favouring one option satisfies her desired level of confidence. Despite its EUT core, the model produces patterns of behaviour that violate standard EUT axioms, while at the same time capturing systematic relationships between choice probabilities, response times and confidence judgments, which are beyond the scope of theories that do not take deliberation into account. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Springer US 2018-12-28 2018 /pmc/articles/PMC6383980/ /pubmed/30872896 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Article
Navarro-Martinez, Daniel
Loomes, Graham
Isoni, Andrea
Butler, David
Alaoui, Larbi
Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title_full Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title_fullStr Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title_full_unstemmed Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title_short Boundedly rational expected utility theory
title_sort boundedly rational expected utility theory
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6383980/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30872896
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3
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