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Boundedly rational expected utility theory
We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer US
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6383980/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30872896 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3 |
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author | Navarro-Martinez, Daniel Loomes, Graham Isoni, Andrea Butler, David Alaoui, Larbi |
author_facet | Navarro-Martinez, Daniel Loomes, Graham Isoni, Andrea Butler, David Alaoui, Larbi |
author_sort | Navarro-Martinez, Daniel |
collection | PubMed |
description | We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence favouring one option satisfies her desired level of confidence. Despite its EUT core, the model produces patterns of behaviour that violate standard EUT axioms, while at the same time capturing systematic relationships between choice probabilities, response times and confidence judgments, which are beyond the scope of theories that do not take deliberation into account. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6383980 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2018 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-63839802019-03-12 Boundedly rational expected utility theory Navarro-Martinez, Daniel Loomes, Graham Isoni, Andrea Butler, David Alaoui, Larbi J Risk Uncertain Article We build a satisficing model of choice under risk which embeds Expected Utility Theory (EUT) into a boundedly rational deliberation process. The decision maker accumulates evidence for and against alternative options by repeatedly sampling from her underlying set of EU preferences until the evidence favouring one option satisfies her desired level of confidence. Despite its EUT core, the model produces patterns of behaviour that violate standard EUT axioms, while at the same time capturing systematic relationships between choice probabilities, response times and confidence judgments, which are beyond the scope of theories that do not take deliberation into account. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users. Springer US 2018-12-28 2018 /pmc/articles/PMC6383980/ /pubmed/30872896 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3 Text en © The Author(s) 2018 Open Access This article is distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. |
spellingShingle | Article Navarro-Martinez, Daniel Loomes, Graham Isoni, Andrea Butler, David Alaoui, Larbi Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title | Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title_full | Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title_fullStr | Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title_full_unstemmed | Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title_short | Boundedly rational expected utility theory |
title_sort | boundedly rational expected utility theory |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6383980/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30872896 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11166-018-9293-3 |
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