C-Peptide Area Under the Curve at Glucagon Stimulation Test Predicts Glucose Improvements by GLP-1 Receptor Analogue: A Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION: Despite the widespread use of glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1) receptor agonists (GLP-1ras) to improve glycemic regulation, with a low risk of hypoglycemia and weight reduction, their effectiveness varies among individuals. This study aimed to identify predictors of the efficacy of GLP-1ra on Hemoglobin A1c (HbA1c) in patients with insulin-independent diabetes. METHODS: In total, 58 patients with insulin-independent diabetes were included. Patients were included if their β-cell function was evaluated via a glucagon stimulation test (GST) before the introduction of GLP-1ra therapy. β-Cell function-related indices, such as the C-peptide index (CPI), increments in C-peptide immunoreactivity (CPR) after glucagon stimulation (ΔCPR), and the area under the CPR curve (CPR-AUC) during the GST, were evaluated. HbA1c and body weight (BW) were measured at 6 and 12 months after the initiation of GLP-1ra. RESULTS: A univariate regression analysis revealed a significant correlation between CPR-AUC and changes in HbA1c at 6 months and with changes in BW at 6 and 12 months. A multivariate regression analysis revealed that CPR-AUC was significantly correlated with changes in HbA1c at 6 months. A receiver-operating characteristic analysis revealed that 21.9 ng/ml·min CPR-AUC was the optimal cut-off value to predict an HbA1c level < 7%, i.e., 53 mmol/mol. CONCLUSION: Residual β-cell function, as assessed via CPR-AUC in the GST, is an effective predictor of the efficacy of GLP-1ras.