Predictive value of a bleeding score for postpartum hemorrhage

BACKGROUND: A reliable screening tool that could contribute to the identification of women with an increased risk of postpartum hemorrhage would be of great clinical significance. OBJECTIVES: The aim of this study was to examine the added predictive value of a bleeding assessment tool for postpartum hemorrhage exceeding 1000 mL. PATIENTS/METHODS: Prospective two‐center cohort study among 1147 pregnant women visiting the outpatient clinic or the maternity ward who completed a bleeding assessment tool prior to birth. The condensed MCMDM‐1VWD bleeding assessment tool was adjusted to a questionnaire that could be used as a self‐assessment bleeding tool. A score of ≥4 was considered to be abnormal. RESULTS: In the 1147 pregnant women in our cohort, bleeding scores ranged from −3 to 13, with a median of 1 (IQR −1 to 3); 197 (17%) women developed postpartum hemorrhage. Among women with a history of postpartum hemorrhage 29% developed postpartum hemorrhage. Among 147 women with an abnormal bleeding score (≥4), 27 (18%) developed postpartum hemorrhage, whereas the remaining 170 cases of postpartum hemorrhage had a normal bleeding score. Despite the high incidence of postpartum hemorrhage, the ability of the bleeding score to predict postpartum hemorrhage was poor: area under receiver operating curve 0.53 (95% CI 0.49‐0.58) for postpartum hemorrhage (PPH) ≥1000 mL. CONCLUSIONS: A history of significant postpartum hemorrhage was associated with an increased risk of subsequent postpartum hemorrhage. However, screening with a bleeding assessment tool did not help to discriminate women who will develop postpartum hemorrhage from women who will not.