Coronary Calcium Characteristics as Predictors of Major Adverse Cardiac Events in Symptomatic Patients: Insights From the CORE320 Multinational Study

BACKGROUND: The predictive value of coronary artery calcium (CAC) has been widely studied; however, little is known about specific characteristics of CAC that are most predictive. We aimed to determine the independent associations of Agatston score, CAC volume, CAC area, CAC mass, and CAC density score with major adverse cardiac events in patients with suspected coronary artery disease. METHODS AND RESULTS: A total of 379 symptomatic participants, aged 45 to 85 years, referred for invasive coronary angiography, who underwent coronary calcium scanning and computed tomography angiography as part of the CORE320 (Combined Noninvasive Coronary Angiography and Myocardial Perfusion Imaging Using 320 Detector Computed Tomography) study, were included. Agatston score, CAC volume, area, mass, and density were computed on noncontrast images. Stenosis measurements were made on contrast‐enhanced images. The primary outcome of 2‐year major adverse cardiac events (30 revascularizations [>182 days of index catheterization], 5 myocardial infarctions, 1 cardiac death, 9 hospitalizations, and 1 arrhythmia) occurred in 32 patients (8.4%). Associations were estimated using multivariable proportional means models. Median age was 62 (interquartile range, 56–68) years, 34% were women, and 56% were white. In separate models, the Agatston, volume, and density scores were all significantly associated with higher risk of major adverse cardiac events after adjustment for age, sex, race, and statin use; density was the strongest predictor in all CAC models. CAC density did not provide incremental value over Agatston score after adjustment for diameter stenosis, age, sex, and race. CONCLUSIONS: In symptomatic patients, CAC density was the strongest independent predictor of major adverse cardiac events among CAC scores, but it did not provide incremental value beyond the Agatston score after adjustment for diameter stenosis.