Disease severity, debridement approach and timing of drug modify outcomes of adjunctive azithromycin in non-surgical management of chronic periodontitis: a multivariate meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Past meta-analyses have shown adjunctive systemic Azithromycin (AZI) to provide minor clinical benefits in scaling and root surface debridement (S/RSD). However, these have not considered the covariance of key outcome parameters; probing pocket depth (PPD) and Clinical Attachment Level (CAL) or systematically examined some potential sources of heterogeneity. AIM: To jointly synthesize 6-month outcomes of systemic AZI as adjunctive to S/RSD in chronic periodontitis and investigate 3 potential sources of heterogeneity. METHODS: Four databases were searched for suitable randomized controlled clinical trials (RCTs). Standardized mean differences (SMD) in PPD and CAL between AZI + S/RSD and S/RSD alone, at 6-month follow-up were computed. Within-study covariances of PPD and CAL were derived from reported multiple time-point data. A multivariate meta-analysis with random effects jointly modelled PPD and CAL, factoring in their covariance. This model included 3 moderators with interaction effects; timing of AZI initiation (pre-therapy/post-therapy), type of S/RSD [full-mouth debridement (FMD)/partial-mouth debridement (PMD)], and baseline study-level mean values of PPD/CAL. RESULTS: Among 276 abstracts, 11 observations from 9 RCTs qualified for meta-analysis. Within-study correlation-coefficients of PPD with CAL significantly increased with increasing study-level baseline mean values (Spearman’s r = 0.79, p < 0.01). The full multivariate meta-analysis model showed significant effects for the 3 moderators (Q statistic = 150.03, p < 0.01), retained significant residual heterogeneity (Q statistic = 88.50, p < 0.01) but outperformed (Likelihood- ratio statistic = 102.95, p < 0.01,) a null-model with no moderators (Q statistic = 201.5, p < 0.01). A significant effect was seen only on the SMD for PPD (estimate = 1.16 mm, 95% CI: 0.27 mm–2.07 mm mm, p = 0.01) but not CAL (estimate = 0.17 mm, 95% CI: -0.92 mm-1.26 mm, p = 0.76). SMD in PPD positively interacted with study baseline value (estimate = 0.11, 95% CI: 0.08–0.15, p < 0.01). Significant negative interactions of SMD in PPD with PMD (estimate = − 1.25 mm, 95% CI: -1.73 mm- -0.78 mm, p < 0.01) and pre-therapy drug initiation (estimate = − 1.18 mm, 95% CI: -1.48 mm--0.87 mm, p < 0.01) were evident. CONCLUSION: Joint synthesis of PPD and CAL showed, at 6-months, AZI + S/RSD provided a benefit over S/RSD alone for PPD alone when correlation with CAL was accounted for. Deeper study-level baseline PPD, FMD type of S/RSD, and post-therapy drug initiation associated with greater PPD reduction. ELECTRONIC SUPPLEMENTARY MATERIAL: The online version of this article (10.1186/s12903-019-0754-0) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.