Multi-Source Ensemble Learning for the Remote Prediction of Parkinson's Disease in the Presence of Source-Wise Missing Data

As the collection of mobile health data becomes pervasive, missing data can make large portions of datasets inaccessible for analysis. Missing data has shown particularly problematic for remotely diagnosing and monitoring Parkinson's disease (PD) using smartphones. This contribution presents multi-source ensemble learning, a methodology which combines dataset deconstruction with ensemble learning and enables participants with incomplete data (i.e., where not all sensor data is available) to be included in the training of machine learning models and achieves a 100% participant retention rate. We demonstrate the proposed method on a cohort of 1513 participants, 91.2% of which contributed incomplete data in tapping, gait, voice, and/or memory tests. The use of multi-source ensemble learning, alongside convolutional neural networks (CNNs) capitalizing on the amount of available data, increases PD classification accuracy from 73.1% to 82.0% as compared to traditional techniques. The increase in accuracy is found to be partly caused by the use of multi-channel CNNs and partly caused by developing models using the large cohort of participants. Furthermore, through bootstrap sampling we reveal that feature selection is better performed on a large cohort of participants with incomplete data than on a small number of participants with complete data. The proposed method is applicable to a wide range of wearable/remote monitoring datasets that suffer from missing data and contributes to improving the ability to remotely monitor PD via revealing novel methods of accounting for symptom heterogeneity.