Transcriptomic model-based lncRNAs and mRNAs serve as independent prognostic indicators in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSC) is one of most common types of cancer worldwide, and mRNAs and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) have been identified as prognostic biomarkers in HNSC. In the present study, using gene expression datasets from multiple platforms, survival-associated genes in HNSC were identified. Subsequently, a combination of 17 genes (14 mRNAs and 3 lncRNA) was optimized using random forest variable hunting and a risk score model for HNSC prognosis was developed using a cohort from The Cancer Genome Atlas. Patients with high-risk scores tend to have earlier disease recurrence and lower survival rates, compared with those with low-risk scores. This observation was further validated in three independent datasets (GSE41613, GSE10300 and E-MTAB-302). Association analysis revealed that the risk score is independent of other clinicopathological observations. On the basis of the results depicted in the nomogram, the risk score performs better in 3-year survival rate prediction than other clinical observations. In summary, the lncRNA-mRNA signature-based risk score successfully predicts the survival of HNSC and serves as an indicator of prognosis.