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author Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Reiner, Robert C.
Brady, Oliver J.
Messina, Jane P.
Gilbert, Marius
Pigott, David M.
Yi, Dingdong
Johnson, Kimberly
Earl, Lucas
Marczak, Laurie B.
Shirude, Shreya
Davis Weaver, Nicole
Bisanzio, Donal
Perkins, T. Alex
Lai, Shengjie
Lu, Xin
Jones, Peter
Coelho, Giovanini E.
Carvalho, Roberta G.
Van Bortel, Wim
Marsboom, Cedric
Hendrickx, Guy
Schaffner, Francis
Moore, Chester G.
Nax, Heinrich H.
Bengtsson, Linus
Wetter, Erik
Tatem, Andrew J.
Brownstein, John S.
Smith, David L.
Lambrechts, Louis
Cauchemez, Simon
Linard, Catherine
Faria, Nuno R.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Scott, Thomas W.
Liu, Qiyong
Yu, Hongjie
Wint, G. R. William
Hay, Simon I.
Golding, Nick
author_facet Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Reiner, Robert C.
Brady, Oliver J.
Messina, Jane P.
Gilbert, Marius
Pigott, David M.
Yi, Dingdong
Johnson, Kimberly
Earl, Lucas
Marczak, Laurie B.
Shirude, Shreya
Davis Weaver, Nicole
Bisanzio, Donal
Perkins, T. Alex
Lai, Shengjie
Lu, Xin
Jones, Peter
Coelho, Giovanini E.
Carvalho, Roberta G.
Van Bortel, Wim
Marsboom, Cedric
Hendrickx, Guy
Schaffner, Francis
Moore, Chester G.
Nax, Heinrich H.
Bengtsson, Linus
Wetter, Erik
Tatem, Andrew J.
Brownstein, John S.
Smith, David L.
Lambrechts, Louis
Cauchemez, Simon
Linard, Catherine
Faria, Nuno R.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Scott, Thomas W.
Liu, Qiyong
Yu, Hongjie
Wint, G. R. William
Hay, Simon I.
Golding, Nick
author_sort Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
collection PubMed
description The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally.
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spelling pubmed-65223662019-10-11 Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus Kraemer, Moritz U. G. Reiner, Robert C. Brady, Oliver J. Messina, Jane P. Gilbert, Marius Pigott, David M. Yi, Dingdong Johnson, Kimberly Earl, Lucas Marczak, Laurie B. Shirude, Shreya Davis Weaver, Nicole Bisanzio, Donal Perkins, T. Alex Lai, Shengjie Lu, Xin Jones, Peter Coelho, Giovanini E. Carvalho, Roberta G. Van Bortel, Wim Marsboom, Cedric Hendrickx, Guy Schaffner, Francis Moore, Chester G. Nax, Heinrich H. Bengtsson, Linus Wetter, Erik Tatem, Andrew J. Brownstein, John S. Smith, David L. Lambrechts, Louis Cauchemez, Simon Linard, Catherine Faria, Nuno R. Pybus, Oliver G. Scott, Thomas W. Liu, Qiyong Yu, Hongjie Wint, G. R. William Hay, Simon I. Golding, Nick Nat Microbiol Article The global population at risk from mosquito-borne diseases—including dengue, yellow fever, chikungunya and Zika—is expanding in concert with changes in the distribution of two key vectors: Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these species is largely driven by both human movement and the presence of suitable climate. Using statistical mapping techniques, we show that human movement patterns explain the spread of both species in Europe and the United States following their introduction. We find that the spread of Ae. aegypti is characterized by long distance importations, while Ae. albopictus has expanded more along the fringes of its distribution. We describe these processes and predict the future distributions of both species in response to accelerating urbanization, connectivity and climate change. Global surveillance and control efforts that aim to mitigate the spread of chikungunya, dengue, yellow fever and Zika viruses must consider the so far unabated spread of these mosquitos. Our maps and predictions offer an opportunity to strategically target surveillance and control programmes and thereby augment efforts to reduce arbovirus burden in human populations globally. Nature Publishing Group UK 2019-03-04 2019 /pmc/articles/PMC6522366/ /pubmed/30833735 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y Text en © The Author(s) 2019 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Kraemer, Moritz U. G.
Reiner, Robert C.
Brady, Oliver J.
Messina, Jane P.
Gilbert, Marius
Pigott, David M.
Yi, Dingdong
Johnson, Kimberly
Earl, Lucas
Marczak, Laurie B.
Shirude, Shreya
Davis Weaver, Nicole
Bisanzio, Donal
Perkins, T. Alex
Lai, Shengjie
Lu, Xin
Jones, Peter
Coelho, Giovanini E.
Carvalho, Roberta G.
Van Bortel, Wim
Marsboom, Cedric
Hendrickx, Guy
Schaffner, Francis
Moore, Chester G.
Nax, Heinrich H.
Bengtsson, Linus
Wetter, Erik
Tatem, Andrew J.
Brownstein, John S.
Smith, David L.
Lambrechts, Louis
Cauchemez, Simon
Linard, Catherine
Faria, Nuno R.
Pybus, Oliver G.
Scott, Thomas W.
Liu, Qiyong
Yu, Hongjie
Wint, G. R. William
Hay, Simon I.
Golding, Nick
Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_full Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_fullStr Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_full_unstemmed Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_short Past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus
title_sort past and future spread of the arbovirus vectors aedes aegypti and aedes albopictus
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6522366/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/30833735
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41564-019-0376-y
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