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Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti
Mosquito-borne pathogens continue to be a significant burden within human populations, with Aedes aegypti continuing to spread dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus throughout the world. Using data from a previously conducted study, a linear regression model was constructed to predict the aquatic deve...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Public Library of Science
2019
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6528993/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31112566 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217199 |
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author | Zapletal, Josef Gupta, Himanshu Erraguntla, Madhav Adelman, Zach N. Myles, Kevin M. Lawley, Mark A. |
author_facet | Zapletal, Josef Gupta, Himanshu Erraguntla, Madhav Adelman, Zach N. Myles, Kevin M. Lawley, Mark A. |
author_sort | Zapletal, Josef |
collection | PubMed |
description | Mosquito-borne pathogens continue to be a significant burden within human populations, with Aedes aegypti continuing to spread dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus throughout the world. Using data from a previously conducted study, a linear regression model was constructed to predict the aquatic development rates based on the average temperature, temperature fluctuation range, and larval density. Additional experiments were conducted with different parameters of average temperature and larval density to validate the model. Using a paired t-test, the model predictions were compared to experimental data and showed that the prediction models were not significantly different for average pupation rate, adult emergence rate, and juvenile mortality rate. The models developed will be useful for modeling and estimating the upper limit of the number of Aedes aegypti in the environment under different temperature, diurnal temperature variations, and larval densities. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6528993 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | Public Library of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-65289932019-05-31 Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti Zapletal, Josef Gupta, Himanshu Erraguntla, Madhav Adelman, Zach N. Myles, Kevin M. Lawley, Mark A. PLoS One Research Article Mosquito-borne pathogens continue to be a significant burden within human populations, with Aedes aegypti continuing to spread dengue, chikungunya, and Zika virus throughout the world. Using data from a previously conducted study, a linear regression model was constructed to predict the aquatic development rates based on the average temperature, temperature fluctuation range, and larval density. Additional experiments were conducted with different parameters of average temperature and larval density to validate the model. Using a paired t-test, the model predictions were compared to experimental data and showed that the prediction models were not significantly different for average pupation rate, adult emergence rate, and juvenile mortality rate. The models developed will be useful for modeling and estimating the upper limit of the number of Aedes aegypti in the environment under different temperature, diurnal temperature variations, and larval densities. Public Library of Science 2019-05-21 /pmc/articles/PMC6528993/ /pubmed/31112566 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217199 Text en © 2019 Zapletal et al http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited. |
spellingShingle | Research Article Zapletal, Josef Gupta, Himanshu Erraguntla, Madhav Adelman, Zach N. Myles, Kevin M. Lawley, Mark A. Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title | Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title_full | Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title_fullStr | Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title_full_unstemmed | Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title_short | Predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of Aedes aegypti |
title_sort | predicting aquatic development and mortality rates of aedes aegypti |
topic | Research Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6528993/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31112566 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217199 |
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