Tacrolimus Trough Level at the First Month May Predict Renal Transplantation Outcomes Among Living Chinese Kidney Transplant Patients: A Propensity Score–Matched Analysis

BACKGROUND: Monitoring and maintaining a stable tacrolimus trough level is essential because of its narrow therapeutic window and considerable fluctuation in the early phase after kidney transplantation. However, optimal tacrolimus exposure early after transplantation remains unclear among Chinese patients. METHODS: In this propensity score–matched cohort study, we thoroughly investigated the association between tacrolimus trough level at the first month and acute rejection (AR) as well as infection within the first year after kidney transplantation. RESULTS: In a first step, a total of 1415 patients were divided into 3 groups according to the receiver operating characteristic curve: low-level group (410 patients with a tacrolimus trough level <5.35 ng/mL at the first month), median-level group (466 patients with a tacrolimus trough level from 5.35 to 7.15 ng/mL), and high-level group (539 patients with a tacrolimus trough level >7.15 ng/mL). Ultimately, 363 and 459 pairs of cases were enrolled by using 2 propensity score matches between low- and median-level groups and between high- and median-level groups, respectively. Compared with patients in the low-level group, patients in the median-level group had lower risk of AR without increased incidence of infection (AR, 12.4% versus 5.7%, P = 0.02; infection, 13.2% versus 13.2%, P = 1.00 for low- and median-level groups, respectively) within the first year. Compared with patients in the high-level group, patients in the median-level group had lower incidence of infection without the growing risk of AR (infection, 17.6% versus 12.2%, P = 0.021; AR, 4.6% versus 5.4%, P = 0.545 for high- and median-level groups, respectively) within the first year. Multilogistic analysis showed that tacrolimus trough levels were an independent factor for AR (odds ratio, 0.749, 95% confidence interval, 0.632–0.888, P = 0.001). Tacrolimus trough levels were also associated with infection (odds ratio 1.110, 95% confidence interval, 1.013–1.218, P = 0.001). Serum creatinine levels were similar among groups. No difference was found in 1-, 3-, and 5-year graft survival and patient survival among groups. CONCLUSIONS: The tacrolimus trough level maintained between 5.35 and 7.15 ng/mL at the first posttransplant month may prevent AR without increasing the incidence of infection within the first year after living kidney transplantation among Chinese patients.