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Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments

Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find r...

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Autores principales: Meyer, Michelle N., Heck, Patrick R., Holtzman, Geoffrey S., Anderson, Stephen M., Cai, William, Watts, Duncan J., Chabris, Christopher F.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6561206/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31072934
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116
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author Meyer, Michelle N.
Heck, Patrick R.
Holtzman, Geoffrey S.
Anderson, Stephen M.
Cai, William
Watts, Duncan J.
Chabris, Christopher F.
author_facet Meyer, Michelle N.
Heck, Patrick R.
Holtzman, Geoffrey S.
Anderson, Stephen M.
Cai, William
Watts, Duncan J.
Chabris, Christopher F.
author_sort Meyer, Michelle N.
collection PubMed
description Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find robust evidence across 16 studies of 5,873 participants from three diverse populations spanning nine domains—from healthcare to autonomous vehicle design to poverty reduction—that people frequently rate A/B tests designed to establish the comparative effectiveness of two policies or treatments as inappropriate even when universally implementing either A or B, untested, is seen as appropriate. This “A/B effect” is as strong among those with higher educational attainment and science literacy and among relevant professionals. It persists even when there is no reason to prefer A to B and even when recipients are treated unequally and randomly in all conditions (A, B, and A/B). Several remaining explanations for the effect—a belief that consent is required to impose a policy on half of a population but not on the entire population; an aversion to controlled but not to uncontrolled experiments; and a proxy form of the illusion of knowledge (according to which randomized evaluations are unnecessary because experts already do or should know “what works”)—appear to contribute to the effect, but none dominates or fully accounts for it. We conclude that rigorously evaluating policies or treatments via pragmatic randomized trials may provoke greater objection than simply implementing those same policies or treatments untested.
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spelling pubmed-65612062019-06-17 Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments Meyer, Michelle N. Heck, Patrick R. Holtzman, Geoffrey S. Anderson, Stephen M. Cai, William Watts, Duncan J. Chabris, Christopher F. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find robust evidence across 16 studies of 5,873 participants from three diverse populations spanning nine domains—from healthcare to autonomous vehicle design to poverty reduction—that people frequently rate A/B tests designed to establish the comparative effectiveness of two policies or treatments as inappropriate even when universally implementing either A or B, untested, is seen as appropriate. This “A/B effect” is as strong among those with higher educational attainment and science literacy and among relevant professionals. It persists even when there is no reason to prefer A to B and even when recipients are treated unequally and randomly in all conditions (A, B, and A/B). Several remaining explanations for the effect—a belief that consent is required to impose a policy on half of a population but not on the entire population; an aversion to controlled but not to uncontrolled experiments; and a proxy form of the illusion of knowledge (according to which randomized evaluations are unnecessary because experts already do or should know “what works”)—appear to contribute to the effect, but none dominates or fully accounts for it. We conclude that rigorously evaluating policies or treatments via pragmatic randomized trials may provoke greater objection than simply implementing those same policies or treatments untested. National Academy of Sciences 2019-05-28 2019-05-09 /pmc/articles/PMC6561206/ /pubmed/31072934 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116 Text en Copyright © 2019 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Social Sciences
Meyer, Michelle N.
Heck, Patrick R.
Holtzman, Geoffrey S.
Anderson, Stephen M.
Cai, William
Watts, Duncan J.
Chabris, Christopher F.
Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title_full Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title_fullStr Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title_full_unstemmed Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title_short Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
title_sort objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
topic Social Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6561206/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31072934
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116
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