Cargando…
Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments
Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find r...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2019
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6561206/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31072934 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116 |
_version_ | 1783426097039278080 |
---|---|
author | Meyer, Michelle N. Heck, Patrick R. Holtzman, Geoffrey S. Anderson, Stephen M. Cai, William Watts, Duncan J. Chabris, Christopher F. |
author_facet | Meyer, Michelle N. Heck, Patrick R. Holtzman, Geoffrey S. Anderson, Stephen M. Cai, William Watts, Duncan J. Chabris, Christopher F. |
author_sort | Meyer, Michelle N. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find robust evidence across 16 studies of 5,873 participants from three diverse populations spanning nine domains—from healthcare to autonomous vehicle design to poverty reduction—that people frequently rate A/B tests designed to establish the comparative effectiveness of two policies or treatments as inappropriate even when universally implementing either A or B, untested, is seen as appropriate. This “A/B effect” is as strong among those with higher educational attainment and science literacy and among relevant professionals. It persists even when there is no reason to prefer A to B and even when recipients are treated unequally and randomly in all conditions (A, B, and A/B). Several remaining explanations for the effect—a belief that consent is required to impose a policy on half of a population but not on the entire population; an aversion to controlled but not to uncontrolled experiments; and a proxy form of the illusion of knowledge (according to which randomized evaluations are unnecessary because experts already do or should know “what works”)—appear to contribute to the effect, but none dominates or fully accounts for it. We conclude that rigorously evaluating policies or treatments via pragmatic randomized trials may provoke greater objection than simply implementing those same policies or treatments untested. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6561206 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-65612062019-06-17 Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments Meyer, Michelle N. Heck, Patrick R. Holtzman, Geoffrey S. Anderson, Stephen M. Cai, William Watts, Duncan J. Chabris, Christopher F. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Social Sciences Randomized experiments have enormous potential to improve human welfare in many domains, including healthcare, education, finance, and public policy. However, such “A/B tests” are often criticized on ethical grounds even as similar, untested interventions are implemented without objection. We find robust evidence across 16 studies of 5,873 participants from three diverse populations spanning nine domains—from healthcare to autonomous vehicle design to poverty reduction—that people frequently rate A/B tests designed to establish the comparative effectiveness of two policies or treatments as inappropriate even when universally implementing either A or B, untested, is seen as appropriate. This “A/B effect” is as strong among those with higher educational attainment and science literacy and among relevant professionals. It persists even when there is no reason to prefer A to B and even when recipients are treated unequally and randomly in all conditions (A, B, and A/B). Several remaining explanations for the effect—a belief that consent is required to impose a policy on half of a population but not on the entire population; an aversion to controlled but not to uncontrolled experiments; and a proxy form of the illusion of knowledge (according to which randomized evaluations are unnecessary because experts already do or should know “what works”)—appear to contribute to the effect, but none dominates or fully accounts for it. We conclude that rigorously evaluating policies or treatments via pragmatic randomized trials may provoke greater objection than simply implementing those same policies or treatments untested. National Academy of Sciences 2019-05-28 2019-05-09 /pmc/articles/PMC6561206/ /pubmed/31072934 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116 Text en Copyright © 2019 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Social Sciences Meyer, Michelle N. Heck, Patrick R. Holtzman, Geoffrey S. Anderson, Stephen M. Cai, William Watts, Duncan J. Chabris, Christopher F. Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title | Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title_full | Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title_fullStr | Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title_full_unstemmed | Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title_short | Objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
title_sort | objecting to experiments that compare two unobjectionable policies or treatments |
topic | Social Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6561206/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31072934 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1820701116 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT meyermichellen objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT heckpatrickr objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT holtzmangeoffreys objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT andersonstephenm objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT caiwilliam objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT wattsduncanj objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments AT chabrischristopherf objectingtoexperimentsthatcomparetwounobjectionablepoliciesortreatments |