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Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials

Voters may be unable to hold politicians to account if they lack basic information about their representatives’ performance. Civil society groups and international donors therefore advocate using voter information campaigns to improve democratic accountability. Yet, are these campaigns effective? Li...

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Autores principales: Dunning, Thad, Grossman, Guy, Humphreys, Macartan, Hyde, Susan D., McIntosh, Craig, Nellis, Gareth, Adida, Claire L., Arias, Eric, Bicalho, Clara, Boas, Taylor C., Buntaine, Mark T., Chauchard, Simon, Chowdhury, Anirvan, Gottlieb, Jessica, Hidalgo, F. Daniel, Holmlund, Marcus, Jablonski, Ryan, Kramon, Eric, Larreguy, Horacio, Lierl, Malte, Marshall, John, McClendon, Gwyneth, Melo, Marcus A., Nielson, Daniel L., Pickering, Paula M., Platas, Melina R., Querubín, Pablo, Raffler, Pia, Sircar, Neelanjan
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6609214/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31281891
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2612
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author Dunning, Thad
Grossman, Guy
Humphreys, Macartan
Hyde, Susan D.
McIntosh, Craig
Nellis, Gareth
Adida, Claire L.
Arias, Eric
Bicalho, Clara
Boas, Taylor C.
Buntaine, Mark T.
Chauchard, Simon
Chowdhury, Anirvan
Gottlieb, Jessica
Hidalgo, F. Daniel
Holmlund, Marcus
Jablonski, Ryan
Kramon, Eric
Larreguy, Horacio
Lierl, Malte
Marshall, John
McClendon, Gwyneth
Melo, Marcus A.
Nielson, Daniel L.
Pickering, Paula M.
Platas, Melina R.
Querubín, Pablo
Raffler, Pia
Sircar, Neelanjan
author_facet Dunning, Thad
Grossman, Guy
Humphreys, Macartan
Hyde, Susan D.
McIntosh, Craig
Nellis, Gareth
Adida, Claire L.
Arias, Eric
Bicalho, Clara
Boas, Taylor C.
Buntaine, Mark T.
Chauchard, Simon
Chowdhury, Anirvan
Gottlieb, Jessica
Hidalgo, F. Daniel
Holmlund, Marcus
Jablonski, Ryan
Kramon, Eric
Larreguy, Horacio
Lierl, Malte
Marshall, John
McClendon, Gwyneth
Melo, Marcus A.
Nielson, Daniel L.
Pickering, Paula M.
Platas, Melina R.
Querubín, Pablo
Raffler, Pia
Sircar, Neelanjan
author_sort Dunning, Thad
collection PubMed
description Voters may be unable to hold politicians to account if they lack basic information about their representatives’ performance. Civil society groups and international donors therefore advocate using voter information campaigns to improve democratic accountability. Yet, are these campaigns effective? Limited replication, measurement heterogeneity, and publication biases may undermine the reliability of published research. We implemented a new approach to cumulative learning, coordinating the design of seven randomized controlled trials to be fielded in six countries by independent research teams. Uncommon for multisite trials in the social sciences, we jointly preregistered a meta-analysis of results in advance of seeing the data. We find no evidence overall that typical, nonpartisan voter information campaigns shape voter behavior, although exploratory and subgroup analyses suggest conditions under which informational campaigns could be more effective. Such null estimated effects are too seldom published, yet they can be critical for scientific progress and cumulative, policy-relevant learning.
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spelling pubmed-66092142019-07-05 Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials Dunning, Thad Grossman, Guy Humphreys, Macartan Hyde, Susan D. McIntosh, Craig Nellis, Gareth Adida, Claire L. Arias, Eric Bicalho, Clara Boas, Taylor C. Buntaine, Mark T. Chauchard, Simon Chowdhury, Anirvan Gottlieb, Jessica Hidalgo, F. Daniel Holmlund, Marcus Jablonski, Ryan Kramon, Eric Larreguy, Horacio Lierl, Malte Marshall, John McClendon, Gwyneth Melo, Marcus A. Nielson, Daniel L. Pickering, Paula M. Platas, Melina R. Querubín, Pablo Raffler, Pia Sircar, Neelanjan Sci Adv Research Articles Voters may be unable to hold politicians to account if they lack basic information about their representatives’ performance. Civil society groups and international donors therefore advocate using voter information campaigns to improve democratic accountability. Yet, are these campaigns effective? Limited replication, measurement heterogeneity, and publication biases may undermine the reliability of published research. We implemented a new approach to cumulative learning, coordinating the design of seven randomized controlled trials to be fielded in six countries by independent research teams. Uncommon for multisite trials in the social sciences, we jointly preregistered a meta-analysis of results in advance of seeing the data. We find no evidence overall that typical, nonpartisan voter information campaigns shape voter behavior, although exploratory and subgroup analyses suggest conditions under which informational campaigns could be more effective. Such null estimated effects are too seldom published, yet they can be critical for scientific progress and cumulative, policy-relevant learning. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2019-07-03 /pmc/articles/PMC6609214/ /pubmed/31281891 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2612 Text en Copyright © 2019 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Dunning, Thad
Grossman, Guy
Humphreys, Macartan
Hyde, Susan D.
McIntosh, Craig
Nellis, Gareth
Adida, Claire L.
Arias, Eric
Bicalho, Clara
Boas, Taylor C.
Buntaine, Mark T.
Chauchard, Simon
Chowdhury, Anirvan
Gottlieb, Jessica
Hidalgo, F. Daniel
Holmlund, Marcus
Jablonski, Ryan
Kramon, Eric
Larreguy, Horacio
Lierl, Malte
Marshall, John
McClendon, Gwyneth
Melo, Marcus A.
Nielson, Daniel L.
Pickering, Paula M.
Platas, Melina R.
Querubín, Pablo
Raffler, Pia
Sircar, Neelanjan
Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title_full Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title_fullStr Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title_full_unstemmed Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title_short Voter information campaigns and political accountability: Cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
title_sort voter information campaigns and political accountability: cumulative findings from a preregistered meta-analysis of coordinated trials
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6609214/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31281891
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aaw2612
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