A prospective study of knee pain, low back pain, and risk of dementia: the JAGES project

The aim of this prospective study was to investigate the associations of knee and low back pain with dementia development. Participants were 14,627 older people with no history of stroke, cancer, injuries, depression, Parkinson’s disease, or dementia who did not require support for daily living completed self-administered questionnaires with 3-years follow-up. A Cox regression model was used to calculate hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for dementia development. Stratified analyses by age and regular walking were conducted. Dementia risk was higher in participants aged 65–79 years with knee pain and without low back pain than in those without knee and low back pain [HR: 1.73 (95% CI: 1.11–2.68)]. Dementia risk was lower in participants ≥80 years with low back pain but no knee pain than in those without low back or knee pain [HR: 0.50 (95% CI: 0.31–0.80)]. Participants with knee pain who did not walk regularly had the highest dementia risk [HR: 1.71 (95% CI: 1.26–2.33)]. Knee pain may increase dementia risk among individuals aged 65–79 years, and may further increase risk in non-regular walkers. Low back pain may be a marker of maintained cognitive function despite age for individuals ≥80 years.