Cargando…
The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model
We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered SIR-network model captures a class of vaccination behaviours influen...
Autores principales: | , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2019
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6678199/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31336761 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16142477 |
_version_ | 1783441044136787968 |
---|---|
author | Chang, Sheryl Le Piraveenan, Mahendra Prokopenko, Mikhail |
author_facet | Chang, Sheryl Le Piraveenan, Mahendra Prokopenko, Mikhail |
author_sort | Chang, Sheryl Le |
collection | PubMed |
description | We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered SIR-network model captures a class of vaccination behaviours influenced by epidemic characteristics, interaction topology, and imitation dynamics. Our focus is the resultant vaccination coverage, produced under voluntary vaccination schemes, in response to these varying factors. Using the next generation matrix method, we analytically derive and compare expressions for the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] for the proposed SIR-network models. Furthermore, we simulate the epidemic dynamics over time for the considered models, and show that if individuals are sufficiently responsive towards the changes in the disease prevalence, then the more expansive travelling patterns encourage convergence to the endemic, mixed equilibria. On the contrary, if individuals are insensitive to changes in the disease prevalence, we find that they tend to remain unvaccinated. Our results concur with earlier studies in showing that residents from highly connected residential areas are more likely to get vaccinated. We also show that the existence of the individuals committed to receiving vaccination reduces [Formula: see text] and delays the disease prevalence, and thus is essential to containing epidemics. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6678199 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-66781992019-08-19 The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model Chang, Sheryl Le Piraveenan, Mahendra Prokopenko, Mikhail Int J Environ Res Public Health Article We present a series of SIR-network models, extended with a game-theoretic treatment of imitation dynamics which result from regular population mobility across residential and work areas and the ensuing interactions. Each considered SIR-network model captures a class of vaccination behaviours influenced by epidemic characteristics, interaction topology, and imitation dynamics. Our focus is the resultant vaccination coverage, produced under voluntary vaccination schemes, in response to these varying factors. Using the next generation matrix method, we analytically derive and compare expressions for the basic reproduction number [Formula: see text] for the proposed SIR-network models. Furthermore, we simulate the epidemic dynamics over time for the considered models, and show that if individuals are sufficiently responsive towards the changes in the disease prevalence, then the more expansive travelling patterns encourage convergence to the endemic, mixed equilibria. On the contrary, if individuals are insensitive to changes in the disease prevalence, we find that they tend to remain unvaccinated. Our results concur with earlier studies in showing that residents from highly connected residential areas are more likely to get vaccinated. We also show that the existence of the individuals committed to receiving vaccination reduces [Formula: see text] and delays the disease prevalence, and thus is essential to containing epidemics. MDPI 2019-07-11 2019-07 /pmc/articles/PMC6678199/ /pubmed/31336761 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16142477 Text en © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article Chang, Sheryl Le Piraveenan, Mahendra Prokopenko, Mikhail The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title | The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title_full | The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title_fullStr | The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title_full_unstemmed | The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title_short | The Effects of Imitation Dynamics on Vaccination Behaviours in SIR-Network Model |
title_sort | effects of imitation dynamics on vaccination behaviours in sir-network model |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6678199/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31336761 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16142477 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT changsherylle theeffectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel AT piraveenanmahendra theeffectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel AT prokopenkomikhail theeffectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel AT changsherylle effectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel AT piraveenanmahendra effectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel AT prokopenkomikhail effectsofimitationdynamicsonvaccinationbehavioursinsirnetworkmodel |