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A novel sub-epidemic modeling framework for short-term forecasting epidemic waves
BACKGROUND: Simple phenomenological growth models can be useful for estimating transmission parameters and forecasting epidemic trajectories. However, most existing phenomenological growth models only support single-peak outbreak dynamics whereas real epidemics often display more complex transmissio...
Autores principales: | Chowell, Gerardo, Tariq, Amna, Hyman, James M. |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
BioMed Central
2019
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6704534/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31438953 http://dx.doi.org/10.1186/s12916-019-1406-6 |
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