Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance

Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in...

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Autores principales: Tkadlec, Emil, Václavík, Tomáš, Široký, Pavel
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2019
Materias:
Dispatch
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6711232/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31441762
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2509.190684
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author Tkadlec, Emil
Václavík, Tomáš
Široký, Pavel
author_facet Tkadlec, Emil
Václavík, Tomáš
Široký, Pavel
author_sort Tkadlec, Emil
collection PubMed
description Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance.
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spelling pubmed-67112322019-09-04 Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance Tkadlec, Emil Václavík, Tomáš Široký, Pavel Emerg Infect Dis Dispatch Using long-term data on incidences of Lyme disease and tickborne encephalitis, we showed that the dynamics of both diseases in central Europe are predictable from rodent host densities and climate indices. Our approach offers a simple and effective tool to predict a tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2019-09 /pmc/articles/PMC6711232/ /pubmed/31441762 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2509.190684 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is a publication of the U.S. Government. This publication is in the public domain and is therefore without copyright. All text from this work may be reprinted freely. Use of these materials should be properly cited.
spellingShingle Dispatch
Tkadlec, Emil
Václavík, Tomáš
Široký, Pavel
Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title_full Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title_fullStr Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title_full_unstemmed Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title_short Rodent Host Abundance and Climate Variability as Predictors of Tickborne Disease Risk 1 Year in Advance
title_sort rodent host abundance and climate variability as predictors of tickborne disease risk 1 year in advance
topic Dispatch
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6711232/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31441762
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2509.190684
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AT vaclaviktomas rodenthostabundanceandclimatevariabilityaspredictorsoftickbornediseaserisk1yearinadvance
AT sirokypavel rodenthostabundanceandclimatevariabilityaspredictorsoftickbornediseaserisk1yearinadvance

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