The Relationship between Metabolically Healthy Obesity and the Risk of Cardiovascular Disease: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk in individuals with metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) is unclear. We searched databases from inception to May 2019. Data were pooled using a random effects model. Newcastle-Ottawa Scale assessment was performed. Primary and secondary outcomes were CVD risk and all-cause mortality. Forty-three studies involving 4,822,205 cases were included. The median percentage of females, age and duration of follow-up was 52%, 49.9 years and 10.6 years, respectively. The mean Newcastle-Ottawa Scale score of the articles was 7.9 ± 1.0. Compared to individuals with a metabolically healthy normal weight, individuals with MHO had higher adjusted risk of CVD and all-cause mortality. We identified a significant linear dose-response relationship between body mass index (BMI) and CVD risk among metabolically healthy individuals (p < 0.001); every unit increase in BMI increased the CVD risk. Multivariate meta-regression analysis showed that an increased proportion of women and age resulted in the risk of CVD affected by MHO reduction (p = 0.014, p = 0.030, respectively). Age and sex explained the observed heterogeneity and reported the adjusted R(2). MHO resulted in a significantly increased risk for CVD; therefore, long-term weight loss should be encouraged.