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Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations

Large-scale afforestation is increasingly being considered as a negative emissions method for sequestering large quantities of atmospheric CO(2). At the same time, regional weather modification methods, like cloud seeding, are being used to counteract increasing water scarcity in arid regions. Large...

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Autores principales: Branch, Oliver, Wulfmeyer, Volker
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6754602/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31481616
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904754116
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author Branch, Oliver
Wulfmeyer, Volker
author_facet Branch, Oliver
Wulfmeyer, Volker
author_sort Branch, Oliver
collection PubMed
description Large-scale afforestation is increasingly being considered as a negative emissions method for sequestering large quantities of atmospheric CO(2). At the same time, regional weather modification methods, like cloud seeding, are being used to counteract increasing water scarcity in arid regions. Large-scale sustainable desert agroforestry plantations can contribute to climate change mitigation and can also be used to modify regional climate, particularly rainfall. Climate impacts from plantations need to be well understood before considering implementation. Typically, impact studies are attempted at continental or global scales and use coarse-resolution models, which suffer from severe systematic errors. This is highly problematic because decision makers should only countenance geoengineering schemes like global afforestation if impacts are understood on the regional scale. We posit the necessity of using high-resolution regional models with sophisticated representations of land–atmosphere feedback and vegetation. This approach allows for studying desert plantations and the process chain leading to climate modification. We demonstrate that large-scale plantations enhance regional clouds and rainfall and derive an index for predicting plantation impacts. Thus, desert plantations represent a unique environmental solution via predictable regional weather modification and carbon storage.
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spelling pubmed-67546022019-10-01 Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations Branch, Oliver Wulfmeyer, Volker Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A Physical Sciences Large-scale afforestation is increasingly being considered as a negative emissions method for sequestering large quantities of atmospheric CO(2). At the same time, regional weather modification methods, like cloud seeding, are being used to counteract increasing water scarcity in arid regions. Large-scale sustainable desert agroforestry plantations can contribute to climate change mitigation and can also be used to modify regional climate, particularly rainfall. Climate impacts from plantations need to be well understood before considering implementation. Typically, impact studies are attempted at continental or global scales and use coarse-resolution models, which suffer from severe systematic errors. This is highly problematic because decision makers should only countenance geoengineering schemes like global afforestation if impacts are understood on the regional scale. We posit the necessity of using high-resolution regional models with sophisticated representations of land–atmosphere feedback and vegetation. This approach allows for studying desert plantations and the process chain leading to climate modification. We demonstrate that large-scale plantations enhance regional clouds and rainfall and derive an index for predicting plantation impacts. Thus, desert plantations represent a unique environmental solution via predictable regional weather modification and carbon storage. National Academy of Sciences 2019-09-17 2019-09-03 /pmc/articles/PMC6754602/ /pubmed/31481616 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904754116 Text en Copyright © 2019 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution License 4.0 (CC BY) (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Physical Sciences
Branch, Oliver
Wulfmeyer, Volker
Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title_full Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title_fullStr Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title_full_unstemmed Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title_short Deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
title_sort deliberate enhancement of rainfall using desert plantations
topic Physical Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6754602/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31481616
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1904754116
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