Validating a popular outpatient antibiotic database to reliably identify high prescribing physicians for patients 65 years of age and older

OBJECTIVE: Many jurisdictions lack comprehensive population-based antibiotic use data and rely on third party companies, most commonly IQVIA. Our objective was to validate the accuracy of the IQVIA Xponent antibiotic database in identifying high prescribing physicians compared to the reference standard of a highly accurate population-wide database of outpatient antimicrobial dispensing for patients ≥65 years. METHODS: We conducted this study between 1 March 2016 and 28 February 2017 in Ontario, Canada. We evaluated the agreement and correlation between the databases using kappa statistics and Bland-Altman plots. We also assessed performance characteristics for Xponent to accurately identify high prescribing physicians with sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value. RESULTS: We included 9,272 physicians. The Xponent database has a specificity of 92.4% (95%CI 92.0%-92.8%) and PPV of 77.2% (95%CI 76.0%-78.4%) for correctly identifying the top 25(th) percentile of physicians by antibiotic volume. In the sensitivity analysis, 94% of the top 25(th) percentile physicians in Xponent were within the top 40(th) percentile in the reference database. The mean number of antibiotic prescriptions per physician were similar with a relative difference of -0.4% and 2.7% for female and male patients, respectively. The error was greater in rural areas with a relative difference of -8.4% and -5.6% per physician for female and male patients, respectively. The weighted kappa for quartile agreement was 0.68 (95%CI 0.67–0.69). CONCLUSION: We validated the IQVIA Xponent antibiotic database to identify high prescribing physicians for patients ≥65 years, and identified some important limitations. Collecting accurate population-based antibiotic use data will remain vital to global antimicrobial stewardship efforts.