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The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution

There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Pr...

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Autores principales: Strommen, K., Mavilia, I., Corti, S., Matsueda, M., Davini, P., von Hardenberg, J., Vidale, P.‐L., Mizuta, R.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6774263/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31598020
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843
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author Strommen, K.
Mavilia, I.
Corti, S.
Matsueda, M.
Davini, P.
von Hardenberg, J.
Vidale, P.‐L.
Mizuta, R.
author_facet Strommen, K.
Mavilia, I.
Corti, S.
Matsueda, M.
Davini, P.
von Hardenberg, J.
Vidale, P.‐L.
Mizuta, R.
author_sort Strommen, K.
collection PubMed
description There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount.
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spelling pubmed-67742632019-10-07 The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution Strommen, K. Mavilia, I. Corti, S. Matsueda, M. Davini, P. von Hardenberg, J. Vidale, P.‐L. Mizuta, R. Geophys Res Lett Research Letters There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2019-07-09 2019-07-16 /pmc/articles/PMC6774263/ /pubmed/31598020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843 Text en ©2019. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made.
spellingShingle Research Letters
Strommen, K.
Mavilia, I.
Corti, S.
Matsueda, M.
Davini, P.
von Hardenberg, J.
Vidale, P.‐L.
Mizuta, R.
The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title_full The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title_fullStr The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title_full_unstemmed The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title_short The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
title_sort sensitivity of euro‐atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution
topic Research Letters
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6774263/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31598020
http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843
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