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The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution
There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Pr...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2019
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6774263/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31598020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843 |
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author | Strommen, K. Mavilia, I. Corti, S. Matsueda, M. Davini, P. von Hardenberg, J. Vidale, P.‐L. Mizuta, R. |
author_facet | Strommen, K. Mavilia, I. Corti, S. Matsueda, M. Davini, P. von Hardenberg, J. Vidale, P.‐L. Mizuta, R. |
author_sort | Strommen, K. |
collection | PubMed |
description | There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6774263 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-67742632019-10-07 The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution Strommen, K. Mavilia, I. Corti, S. Matsueda, M. Davini, P. von Hardenberg, J. Vidale, P.‐L. Mizuta, R. Geophys Res Lett Research Letters There is growing evidence that the atmospheric dynamics of the Euro‐Atlantic sector during winter is driven in part by the presence of quasi‐persistent regimes. However, general circulation models typically struggle to simulate these with, for example, an overly weakly persistent blocking regime. Previous studies have showed that increased horizontal resolution can improve the regime structure of a model but have so far only considered a single model with only one ensemble member at each resolution, leaving open the possibility that this may be either coincidental or model dependent. We show that the improvement in regime structure due to increased resolution is robust across multiple models with multiple ensemble members. However, while the high‐resolution models have notably more tightly clustered data, other aspects of the regimes may not necessarily improve and are also subject to a large amount of sampling variability that typically requires at least three ensemble members to surmount. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2019-07-09 2019-07-16 /pmc/articles/PMC6774263/ /pubmed/31598020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843 Text en ©2019. The Authors. This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. |
spellingShingle | Research Letters Strommen, K. Mavilia, I. Corti, S. Matsueda, M. Davini, P. von Hardenberg, J. Vidale, P.‐L. Mizuta, R. The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title | The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title_full | The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title_fullStr | The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title_full_unstemmed | The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title_short | The Sensitivity of Euro‐Atlantic Regimes to Model Horizontal Resolution |
title_sort | sensitivity of euro‐atlantic regimes to model horizontal resolution |
topic | Research Letters |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6774263/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31598020 http://dx.doi.org/10.1029/2019GL082843 |
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