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Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics

When confronted with a globally spreading epidemic, we seek efficient strategies for drug dissemination, creating a competition between supply and demand at a global scale. Propagating along similar networks, e.g., air-transportation, the spreading dynamics of the supply vs. the demand are, however,...

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Autores principales: Hacohen, Adar, Cohen, Reuven, Efroni, Sol, Barzel, Baruch, Bachelet, Ido
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6778202/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31586137
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-50553-x
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author Hacohen, Adar
Cohen, Reuven
Efroni, Sol
Barzel, Baruch
Bachelet, Ido
author_facet Hacohen, Adar
Cohen, Reuven
Efroni, Sol
Barzel, Baruch
Bachelet, Ido
author_sort Hacohen, Adar
collection PubMed
description When confronted with a globally spreading epidemic, we seek efficient strategies for drug dissemination, creating a competition between supply and demand at a global scale. Propagating along similar networks, e.g., air-transportation, the spreading dynamics of the supply vs. the demand are, however, fundamentally different, with the pathogens driven by contagion dynamics, and the drugs by commodity flow. We show that these different dynamics lead to intrinsically distinct spreading patterns: while viruses spread homogeneously across all destinations, creating a concurrent global demand, commodity flow unavoidably leads to a highly uneven spread, in which selected nodes are rapidly supplied, while the majority remains deprived. Consequently, even under ideal conditions of extreme production and shipping capacities, due to the inherent heterogeneity of network-based commodity flow, efficient mitigation becomes practically unattainable, as homogeneous demand is met by highly heterogeneous supply. Therefore, we propose here a decentralized mitigation strategy, based on local production and dissemination of therapeutics, that, in effect, bypasses the existing distribution networks. Such decentralization is enabled thanks to the recent development of digitizable therapeutics, based on, e.g., short DNA sequences or printable chemical compounds, that can be distributed as digital sequence files and synthesized on location via DNA/3D printing technology. We test our decentralized mitigation under extremely challenging conditions, such as suppressed local production rates or low therapeutic efficacy, and find that thanks to its homogeneous nature, it consistently outperforms the centralized alternative, saving many more lives with significantly less resources.
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spelling pubmed-67782022019-10-09 Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics Hacohen, Adar Cohen, Reuven Efroni, Sol Barzel, Baruch Bachelet, Ido Sci Rep Article When confronted with a globally spreading epidemic, we seek efficient strategies for drug dissemination, creating a competition between supply and demand at a global scale. Propagating along similar networks, e.g., air-transportation, the spreading dynamics of the supply vs. the demand are, however, fundamentally different, with the pathogens driven by contagion dynamics, and the drugs by commodity flow. We show that these different dynamics lead to intrinsically distinct spreading patterns: while viruses spread homogeneously across all destinations, creating a concurrent global demand, commodity flow unavoidably leads to a highly uneven spread, in which selected nodes are rapidly supplied, while the majority remains deprived. Consequently, even under ideal conditions of extreme production and shipping capacities, due to the inherent heterogeneity of network-based commodity flow, efficient mitigation becomes practically unattainable, as homogeneous demand is met by highly heterogeneous supply. Therefore, we propose here a decentralized mitigation strategy, based on local production and dissemination of therapeutics, that, in effect, bypasses the existing distribution networks. Such decentralization is enabled thanks to the recent development of digitizable therapeutics, based on, e.g., short DNA sequences or printable chemical compounds, that can be distributed as digital sequence files and synthesized on location via DNA/3D printing technology. We test our decentralized mitigation under extremely challenging conditions, such as suppressed local production rates or low therapeutic efficacy, and find that thanks to its homogeneous nature, it consistently outperforms the centralized alternative, saving many more lives with significantly less resources. Nature Publishing Group UK 2019-10-04 /pmc/articles/PMC6778202/ /pubmed/31586137 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-50553-x Text en © The Author(s) 2019 Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/.
spellingShingle Article
Hacohen, Adar
Cohen, Reuven
Efroni, Sol
Barzel, Baruch
Bachelet, Ido
Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title_full Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title_fullStr Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title_full_unstemmed Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title_short Digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
title_sort digitizable therapeutics for decentralized mitigation of global pandemics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6778202/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31586137
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-019-50553-x
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