Assessing a single SNP located at TERT/CLPTM1L multi-cancer risk region as a genetic modifier for risk of pancreatic cancer and melanoma in Dutch CDKN2A mutation carriers

Carriers of pathogenic variants in CDKN2A have a 70% life-time risk of developing melanoma and 15–20% risk of developing pancreatic cancer (PC). In the Netherlands, a 19-bp deletion in exon 2 of CDKN2A (p16-Leiden mutation) accounts for most hereditary melanoma cases. Clinical experience suggests variability in occurrence of melanoma and PC in p16-Leiden families. Thereby, the risk of developing cancer could be modified by both environmental and genetic contributors, suggesting that identification of genetic modifiers could improve patients’ surveillance. In a recent genome-wide association study (GWAS), rs36115365-C was found to significantly modify risk of PC and melanoma in the European population. This SNP is located on chr5p15.33 and has allele-specific regulatory activities on TERT expression. Herein, we investigated the modifying capacities of rs36115365-C on PC and melanoma in a cohort of 283 p16-Leiden carriers including 29 diagnosed with PC, 171 diagnosed with melanoma, 21 diagnosed with both PC and melanoma and 62 with neither PC nor melanoma. In contrast to previously reported findings, we did not find a significant association of PC risk with risk variant presence as determined by Generalized Estimating Equations (GEE) modelling. Interestingly, carrier-ship of the risk variant had a significant protective effect for melanoma (OR − 0.703 [95% CI − 1.201 to − 0.205], p = 0.006); however, the observed association was no longer significant after exclusion of probands to assess possible influence of ascertainment. Collectively, genetic modifiers for the prediction of PC and melanoma risk in p16-Leiden carriers remain to be determined.