Is it possible to eliminate hepatitis C from the prisons of Catalonia, Spain, in 2021?

AIM: Predict the elimination of chronic hepatitis C in Catalan prisons. MATERIAL AND METHOD: We analyzed the trend of the prevalence of HCV-RNA and anti-hepatitis C treatments prescribed in Catalonia in the period 2002-2016. Using linear exponential smoothing from the historical values in the time s...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Marco, A, Guerrero, RA, Turu, E, Gallego, C, Teixidó, N, Sastre, A, Caylà, JA
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Sociedad Española de Sanidad Penitenciaria 2019
Materias:
Short Original
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6788204/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31498858
Descripción
Sumario:AIM: Predict the elimination of chronic hepatitis C in Catalan prisons. MATERIAL AND METHOD: We analyzed the trend of the prevalence of HCV-RNA and anti-hepatitis C treatments prescribed in Catalonia in the period 2002-2016. Using linear exponential smoothing from the historical values in the time series, we estimate the time required to eliminate hepatitis C as a public health problem in prisons (prevalence of hepatitis C virus RNA<1%). RESULTS: A total of 1264 treatments were administered by 12/31/2016. The prevalence of hepatitis C virus RNA was 31.2% in 2002, decreasing to 8.81% in 2016. We estimate that prevalence will reach 0-0.5% in 5 years (second half 2021; 95% CI: 2019-2025). DISCUSSION: Appropriate actions can eliminate hepatitis C infection in prisoners. We estimate that by 2021 hepatitis C infection will no longer be a public health problem in Catalonia prisons.

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