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2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning

OBJECTIVES/SPECIFIC AIMS: Historically, logistic regression algorithms (LRAs) have failed to differentiate strangulated small bowel obstructions (SBOs) from nonstrangulated SBOs. Our hypothesis is that a machine learning algorithm (MLA) can differentiate strangulated from simple SBOs better than an...

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Autores principales: David Zetumer, Samuel, Harris, Hobart
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Cambridge University Press 2018
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6799883/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2017.79
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author David Zetumer, Samuel
Harris, Hobart
author_facet David Zetumer, Samuel
Harris, Hobart
author_sort David Zetumer, Samuel
collection PubMed
description OBJECTIVES/SPECIFIC AIMS: Historically, logistic regression algorithms (LRAs) have failed to differentiate strangulated small bowel obstructions (SBOs) from nonstrangulated SBOs. Our hypothesis is that a machine learning algorithm (MLA) can differentiate strangulated from simple SBOs better than an LRA can. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: We used records of patients presenting with acute SBO and managed with exploratory laparotomy to test and train algorithms. We compared MLA to LRA via area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and cut-off points maximizing sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: With 192 patient records, the AUROC of the MLA was 0.85. At the sensitivity cutoff, the MLA had 100% sensitivity and 55% specificity. At the specificity cutoff, the MLA had 45% sensitivity and 100% specificity. We anticipate improvements as more records are incorporated, and that LRA will underperform MLA across all measures. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACT: Our MLA represents a significant improvement over past LRAs, and may provide decision assistance to surgeons managing SBO. If this MLA maintains its high sensitivity, it may be used in the future to prevent unnecessary surgeries.
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spelling pubmed-67998832019-10-28 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning David Zetumer, Samuel Harris, Hobart J Clin Transl Sci Biomedical Informatics/Health Informatics OBJECTIVES/SPECIFIC AIMS: Historically, logistic regression algorithms (LRAs) have failed to differentiate strangulated small bowel obstructions (SBOs) from nonstrangulated SBOs. Our hypothesis is that a machine learning algorithm (MLA) can differentiate strangulated from simple SBOs better than an LRA can. METHODS/STUDY POPULATION: We used records of patients presenting with acute SBO and managed with exploratory laparotomy to test and train algorithms. We compared MLA to LRA via area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and cut-off points maximizing sensitivity and specificity. RESULTS/ANTICIPATED RESULTS: With 192 patient records, the AUROC of the MLA was 0.85. At the sensitivity cutoff, the MLA had 100% sensitivity and 55% specificity. At the specificity cutoff, the MLA had 45% sensitivity and 100% specificity. We anticipate improvements as more records are incorporated, and that LRA will underperform MLA across all measures. DISCUSSION/SIGNIFICANCE OF IMPACT: Our MLA represents a significant improvement over past LRAs, and may provide decision assistance to surgeons managing SBO. If this MLA maintains its high sensitivity, it may be used in the future to prevent unnecessary surgeries. Cambridge University Press 2018-05-10 /pmc/articles/PMC6799883/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2017.79 Text en © The Association for Clinical and Translational Science 2018 http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution licence (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted reuse, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Biomedical Informatics/Health Informatics
David Zetumer, Samuel
Harris, Hobart
2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title_full 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title_fullStr 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title_full_unstemmed 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title_short 2476: Identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
title_sort 2476: identifying strangulated small bowel obstruction with machine learning
topic Biomedical Informatics/Health Informatics
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6799883/
http://dx.doi.org/10.1017/cts.2017.79
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