Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019

The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reprodu...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mizumoto, Kenji, Tariq, Amna, Roosa, Kimberlyn, Kong, Jun, Yan, Ping, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2019
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6807257/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31640841
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.42.1900588
Descripción
Sumario:The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reproduction number (R (t)) at national and regional levels as at 29 September. The weekly trend in R (t) displays fluctuations while our recent national-level R (t) falls slightly above 1.0 with substantial uncertainty, which suggests improvements in epidemic control.

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