Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019

The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reprodu...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Mizumoto, Kenji, Tariq, Amna, Roosa, Kimberlyn, Kong, Jun, Yan, Ping, Chowell, Gerardo
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2019
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6807257/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31640841
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.42.1900588
_version_ 1783461693158850560
author Mizumoto, Kenji
Tariq, Amna
Roosa, Kimberlyn
Kong, Jun
Yan, Ping
Chowell, Gerardo
author_facet Mizumoto, Kenji
Tariq, Amna
Roosa, Kimberlyn
Kong, Jun
Yan, Ping
Chowell, Gerardo
author_sort Mizumoto, Kenji
collection PubMed
description The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reproduction number (R (t)) at national and regional levels as at 29 September. The weekly trend in R (t) displays fluctuations while our recent national-level R (t) falls slightly above 1.0 with substantial uncertainty, which suggests improvements in epidemic control.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-6807257
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2019
publisher European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC)
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-68072572019-11-07 Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019 Mizumoto, Kenji Tariq, Amna Roosa, Kimberlyn Kong, Jun Yan, Ping Chowell, Gerardo Euro Surveill Rapid Communication The ongoing Ebola virus disease epidemic (August 2018─October 2019) in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, has been exacerbated by deliberate attacks on healthcare workers despite vaccination efforts. Using a mathematical/statistical modelling framework, we present the quantified effective reproduction number (R (t)) at national and regional levels as at 29 September. The weekly trend in R (t) displays fluctuations while our recent national-level R (t) falls slightly above 1.0 with substantial uncertainty, which suggests improvements in epidemic control. European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2019-10-17 /pmc/articles/PMC6807257/ /pubmed/31640841 http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.42.1900588 Text en This article is copyright of the authors or their affiliated institutions, 2019. http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY 4.0) Licence. You may share and adapt the material, but must give appropriate credit to the source, provide a link to the licence, and indicate if changes were made.
spellingShingle Rapid Communication
Mizumoto, Kenji
Tariq, Amna
Roosa, Kimberlyn
Kong, Jun
Yan, Ping
Chowell, Gerardo
Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title_full Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title_fullStr Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title_full_unstemmed Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title_short Spatial variability in the reproduction number of Ebola virus disease, Democratic Republic of the Congo, January–September 2019
title_sort spatial variability in the reproduction number of ebola virus disease, democratic republic of the congo, january–september 2019
topic Rapid Communication
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6807257/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31640841
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2019.24.42.1900588
work_keys_str_mv AT mizumotokenji spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019
AT tariqamna spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019
AT roosakimberlyn spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019
AT kongjun spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019
AT yanping spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019
AT chowellgerardo spatialvariabilityinthereproductionnumberofebolavirusdiseasedemocraticrepublicofthecongojanuaryseptember2019

Ejemplares similares