Stratifying risk of acute kidney injury in pre and post cardiac surgery patients using a novel biomarker-based algorithm and clinical risk score

Acute kidney injury (AKI) following cardiac surgery significantly increases morbidity and mortality risks. Improving existing clinical methods of identifying patients at risk of perioperative AKI may advance management and treatment options. This study investigated whether a combination of biomarkers and clinical factors pre and post cardiac surgery could stratify patients at risk of developing AKI. Patients (n = 401) consecutively scheduled for elective cardiac surgery were prospectively studied. Clinical data was recorded and blood samples were tested for 31 biomarkers. Areas under receiver operating characteristic (AUROCs) were generated for biomarkers pre and postoperatively to stratify patients at risk of AKI. Preoperatively sTNFR1 had the highest predictive ability to identify risk of developing AKI postoperatively (AUROC 0.748). Postoperatively a combination of H-FABP, midkine and sTNFR2 had the highest predictive ability to identify AKI risk (AUROC 0.836). Preoperative clinical risk factors included patient age, body mass index and diabetes. Perioperative factors included cardio pulmonary bypass, cross-clamp and operation times, intra-aortic balloon pump, blood products and resternotomy. Combining biomarker risk score (BRS) with clinical risk score (CRS) enabled pre and postoperative assignment of patients to AKI risk categories. Combining BRS with CRS will allow better management of cardiac patients at risk of developing AKI.