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Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective

The paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Yang, Ling, Zhao, Kai, Fan, Zhen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6861940/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31684106
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16214265
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author Yang, Ling
Zhao, Kai
Fan, Zhen
author_facet Yang, Ling
Zhao, Kai
Fan, Zhen
author_sort Yang, Ling
collection PubMed
description The paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional level, the SEM (spatial error model) estimation suggests that at least seven socio-economic factors are associated with the evolution of the ageing pattern in northeast China, including birth rate, mortality, education, healthcare conditions, the level of economic development, urbanization, and population mobility. However, these associations vary according to time and space, which are further confirmed by the geographical weighted regression (GWR). These findings imply that there are complicated and diversified factors which may be associated with the deteriorating population ageing at the local level in northeast China. Therefore, the sustainable development of the northeast region may not be delivered by dichotomous policy interventions, such as the control of birth rate or mortality rate, as many of the previous studies have focused on; instead, the implementation of ageing policy shall be consistent and complementary with the principles of social benefits, for example, providing incentives for improving regional economic structures, or by policies aimed at building up an adequate “tolerant culture” for slowing down population outflows.
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spelling pubmed-68619402019-12-05 Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective Yang, Ling Zhao, Kai Fan, Zhen Int J Environ Res Public Health Article The paper aims to examine the population ageing process in northeast China, typically perceived as a region experiencing dramatic demographic change and socio-economic slowdown that is much deeper and more significant compared to other regions. Using the 2000 and 2010 census data at the sub-regional level, the SEM (spatial error model) estimation suggests that at least seven socio-economic factors are associated with the evolution of the ageing pattern in northeast China, including birth rate, mortality, education, healthcare conditions, the level of economic development, urbanization, and population mobility. However, these associations vary according to time and space, which are further confirmed by the geographical weighted regression (GWR). These findings imply that there are complicated and diversified factors which may be associated with the deteriorating population ageing at the local level in northeast China. Therefore, the sustainable development of the northeast region may not be delivered by dichotomous policy interventions, such as the control of birth rate or mortality rate, as many of the previous studies have focused on; instead, the implementation of ageing policy shall be consistent and complementary with the principles of social benefits, for example, providing incentives for improving regional economic structures, or by policies aimed at building up an adequate “tolerant culture” for slowing down population outflows. MDPI 2019-11-02 2019-11 /pmc/articles/PMC6861940/ /pubmed/31684106 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16214265 Text en © 2019 by the authors. Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Yang, Ling
Zhao, Kai
Fan, Zhen
Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_full Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_fullStr Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_full_unstemmed Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_short Exploring Determinants of Population Ageing in Northeast China: From a Socio-Economic Perspective
title_sort exploring determinants of population ageing in northeast china: from a socio-economic perspective
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6861940/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31684106
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph16214265
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