Comparison of Apolipoprotein B/A1 ratio, Framingham risk score and TC/HDL-c for predicting clinical outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND: Apolipoproteins (Apo) are known atherogenic factors that play important roles in many mechanisms related to coronary heart disease (CHD). However, it is unclear whether the apoB/apoA1 ratio is an equal or a better predictor than the Framingham Risk Score or TC/HDL-c for predicting clinical outcomes in patients undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention. METHODS: We investigated the association between Apolipoprotein B/A1 ratio and cardiovascular risk factors as well as the severity of CHD in 2256 Han Chinese patients. The potential of Apolipoprotein B/A1 ratio, Framingham Risk Score and TC/HDL-c were assessed as a marker to predict cardiovascular adverse events in a prospective subgroup of 1639 CHD patients during a 5-year follow-up. RESULTS: In the multivariate model, adjusted odds ratios (ORs) were significant for 3-VD vs. 1-VD (OR = 2.36; 95% CI: 1.65–3.38, for the fourth vs. first quartile; P(trend) < 0.001). The subgroup analysis showed that patients with a higher ApoB/ApoA1 ratio had an increased risk of developing multi-branch lesions and potentially suffer more cardiovascular adverse events (anginas, myocardial infarctions, heart failures, strokes, and cardiac deaths) in the future (adjusted HR =1.92; 95% CI: 1.10–3.13, for the fourth vs. first quartile). In the ROC analysis, the AUC for ApoB/A1 ratio was larger than that of Framingham Risk Score (0.604 vs. 0.543, p = 0.01) and TC/HDL-c (0.604 vs. 0.525, p < 0.01). CONCLUSION: Our results suggest a significant association between ApoB/ApoA1 ratio and CHD severity and cardiovascular outcomes among patients with existing CHD and ApoB/A1 ratio demonstrated a better predictive accuracy for clinical outcomes compared with Framingham Risk Score and TC/HDL-c.