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Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial

The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LI...

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Autores principales: Scussolini, Paolo, Bakker, Pepijn, Guo, Chuncheng, Stepanek, Christian, Zhang, Qiong, Braconnot, Pascale, Cao, Jian, Guarino, Maria-Vittoria, Coumou, Dim, Prange, Matthias, Ward, Philip J., Renssen, Hans, Kageyama, Masa, Otto-Bliesner, Bette, Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6867887/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31799394
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
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author Scussolini, Paolo
Bakker, Pepijn
Guo, Chuncheng
Stepanek, Christian
Zhang, Qiong
Braconnot, Pascale
Cao, Jian
Guarino, Maria-Vittoria
Coumou, Dim
Prange, Matthias
Ward, Philip J.
Renssen, Hans
Kageyama, Masa
Otto-Bliesner, Bette
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
author_facet Scussolini, Paolo
Bakker, Pepijn
Guo, Chuncheng
Stepanek, Christian
Zhang, Qiong
Braconnot, Pascale
Cao, Jian
Guarino, Maria-Vittoria
Coumou, Dim
Prange, Matthias
Ward, Philip J.
Renssen, Hans
Kageyama, Masa
Otto-Bliesner, Bette
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
author_sort Scussolini, Paolo
collection PubMed
description The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG.
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spelling pubmed-68678872019-12-03 Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial Scussolini, Paolo Bakker, Pepijn Guo, Chuncheng Stepanek, Christian Zhang, Qiong Braconnot, Pascale Cao, Jian Guarino, Maria-Vittoria Coumou, Dim Prange, Matthias Ward, Philip J. Renssen, Hans Kageyama, Masa Otto-Bliesner, Bette Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H. Sci Adv Research Articles The last extended time period when climate may have been warmer than today was during the Last Interglacial (LIG; ca. 129 to 120 thousand years ago). However, a global view of LIG precipitation is lacking. Here, seven new LIG climate models are compared to the first global database of proxies for LIG precipitation. In this way, models are assessed in their ability to capture important hydroclimatic processes during a different climate. The models can reproduce the proxy-based positive precipitation anomalies from the preindustrial period over much of the boreal continents. Over the Southern Hemisphere, proxy-model agreement is partial. In models, LIG boreal monsoons have 42% wider area than in the preindustrial and produce 55% more precipitation and 50% more extreme precipitation. Austral monsoons are weaker. The mechanisms behind these changes are consistent with stronger summer radiative forcing over boreal high latitudes and with the associated higher temperatures during the LIG. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2019-11-20 /pmc/articles/PMC6867887/ /pubmed/31799394 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047 Text en Copyright © 2019 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Articles
Scussolini, Paolo
Bakker, Pepijn
Guo, Chuncheng
Stepanek, Christian
Zhang, Qiong
Braconnot, Pascale
Cao, Jian
Guarino, Maria-Vittoria
Coumou, Dim
Prange, Matthias
Ward, Philip J.
Renssen, Hans
Kageyama, Masa
Otto-Bliesner, Bette
Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.
Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title_full Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title_fullStr Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title_full_unstemmed Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title_short Agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the Last Interglacial
title_sort agreement between reconstructed and modeled boreal precipitation of the last interglacial
topic Research Articles
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6867887/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31799394
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.aax7047
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