Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia

In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May–October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospita...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cousien, Anthony, Ledien, Julia, Souv, Kimsan, Leang, Rithea, Huy, Rekol, Fontenille, Didier, Ly, Sowath, Duong, Veasna, Dussart, Philippe, Piola, Patrice, Cauchemez, Simon, Tarantola, Arnaud
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2019
Materias:
Dispatch
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6874239/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31742509
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2512.181193
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author Cousien, Anthony
Ledien, Julia
Souv, Kimsan
Leang, Rithea
Huy, Rekol
Fontenille, Didier
Ly, Sowath
Duong, Veasna
Dussart, Philippe
Piola, Patrice
Cauchemez, Simon
Tarantola, Arnaud
author_facet Cousien, Anthony
Ledien, Julia
Souv, Kimsan
Leang, Rithea
Huy, Rekol
Fontenille, Didier
Ly, Sowath
Duong, Veasna
Dussart, Philippe
Piola, Patrice
Cauchemez, Simon
Tarantola, Arnaud
author_sort Cousien, Anthony
collection PubMed
description In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May–October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients.
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spelling pubmed-68742392019-12-01 Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia Cousien, Anthony Ledien, Julia Souv, Kimsan Leang, Rithea Huy, Rekol Fontenille, Didier Ly, Sowath Duong, Veasna Dussart, Philippe Piola, Patrice Cauchemez, Simon Tarantola, Arnaud Emerg Infect Dis Dispatch In Cambodia, dengue outbreaks occur each rainy season (May–October) but vary in magnitude. Using national surveillance data, we designed a tool that can predict 90% of the variance in peak magnitude by April, when typically <10% of dengue cases have been reported. This prediction may help hospitals anticipate excess patients. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention 2019-12 /pmc/articles/PMC6874239/ /pubmed/31742509 http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2512.181193 Text en https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is a publication of the U.S. Government. This publication is in the public domain and is therefore without copyright. All text from this work may be reprinted freely. Use of these materials should be properly cited.
spellingShingle Dispatch
Cousien, Anthony
Ledien, Julia
Souv, Kimsan
Leang, Rithea
Huy, Rekol
Fontenille, Didier
Ly, Sowath
Duong, Veasna
Dussart, Philippe
Piola, Patrice
Cauchemez, Simon
Tarantola, Arnaud
Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title_full Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title_fullStr Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title_full_unstemmed Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title_short Predicting Dengue Outbreaks in Cambodia
title_sort predicting dengue outbreaks in cambodia
topic Dispatch
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6874239/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31742509
http://dx.doi.org/10.3201/eid2512.181193
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