Low skeletal muscle area as a prognostic marker for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease in elderly patients admitted to ICU

Low L3 skeletal muscle area (SMA), which is assessed on computed tomography (CT) images, has been reported to indicate poor clinical outcomes of patients with acute exacerbation of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). The dorsal muscle group area at the T12 vertebral level (T12DMA) was used as an alternative to L3 SMA. This study aimed to investigate whether T12DMA could be used as a predictor of in-hospital mortality and long-term survival in elderly patients with COPD admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). This single-center retrospective case–control study was performed by analyzing the clinical information and measuring T12DMA on chest CT images of elderly patients with COPD admitted to the ICU between May 2013 and May 2018. This study included 136 patients. The multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that T12DMA, neutrophil–lymphocyte ratio, invasive mechanical ventilation, and systemic steroid therapy were independent risk factors for predicting the hospital mortality. The median survival was significantly higher in the high-T12DMA group (214 days) than in the low-T12DMA group (32 days).