Prediction of malignant glioma grades using contrast-enhanced T1-weighted and T2-weighted magnetic resonance images based on a radiomic analysis

We conducted a feasibility study to predict malignant glioma grades via radiomic analysis using contrast-enhanced T1-weighted magnetic resonance images (CE-T1WIs) and T2-weighted magnetic resonance images (T2WIs). We proposed a framework and applied it to CE-T1WIs and T2WIs (with tumor region data) acquired preoperatively from 157 patients with malignant glioma (grade III: 55, grade IV: 102) as the primary dataset and 67 patients with malignant glioma (grade III: 22, grade IV: 45) as the validation dataset. Radiomic features such as size/shape, intensity, histogram, and texture features were extracted from the tumor regions on the CE-T1WIs and T2WIs. The Wilcoxon–Mann–Whitney (WMW) test and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator logistic regression (LASSO-LR) were employed to select the radiomic features. Various machine learning (ML) algorithms were used to construct prediction models for the malignant glioma grades using the selected radiomic features. Leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) was implemented to evaluate the performance of the prediction models in the primary dataset. The selected radiomic features for all folds in the LOOCV of the primary dataset were used to perform an independent validation. As evaluation indices, accuracies, sensitivities, specificities, and values for the area under receiver operating characteristic curve (or simply the area under the curve (AUC)) for all prediction models were calculated. The mean AUC value for all prediction models constructed by the ML algorithms in the LOOCV of the primary dataset was 0.902 ± 0.024 (95% CI (confidence interval), 0.873–0.932). In the independent validation, the mean AUC value for all prediction models was 0.747 ± 0.034 (95% CI, 0.705–0.790). The results of this study suggest that the malignant glioma grades could be sufficiently and easily predicted by preparing the CE-T1WIs, T2WIs, and tumor delineations for each patient. Our proposed framework may be an effective tool for preoperatively grading malignant gliomas.