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Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Speci...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
National Academy of Sciences
2019
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6925985/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31767750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116 |
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author | Bryan, Christopher J. Yeager, David S. O’Brien, Joseph M. |
author_facet | Bryan, Christopher J. Yeager, David S. O’Brien, Joseph M. |
author_sort | Bryan, Christopher J. |
collection | PubMed |
description | In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Specifically, using data from an ongoing debate, we show that commonly exercised flexibility at the experimental design and data analysis stages of replication testing can make it appear that a finding was not replicated when, in fact, it was. The debate that we focus on is representative, on key dimensions, of a large number of other replication tests in psychology that have been published in recent years, suggesting that the lessons of this analysis may be far reaching. The problems with current practice in replication science that we uncover here are particularly worrisome because they are not adequately addressed by the field’s standard remedies, including preregistration. Implications for how the field could develop more effective methodological standards for replication are discussed. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-6925985 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2019 |
publisher | National Academy of Sciences |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-69259852019-12-23 Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate Bryan, Christopher J. Yeager, David S. O’Brien, Joseph M. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A PNAS Plus In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Specifically, using data from an ongoing debate, we show that commonly exercised flexibility at the experimental design and data analysis stages of replication testing can make it appear that a finding was not replicated when, in fact, it was. The debate that we focus on is representative, on key dimensions, of a large number of other replication tests in psychology that have been published in recent years, suggesting that the lessons of this analysis may be far reaching. The problems with current practice in replication science that we uncover here are particularly worrisome because they are not adequately addressed by the field’s standard remedies, including preregistration. Implications for how the field could develop more effective methodological standards for replication are discussed. National Academy of Sciences 2019-12-17 2019-11-25 /pmc/articles/PMC6925985/ /pubmed/31767750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116 Text en Copyright © 2019 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | PNAS Plus Bryan, Christopher J. Yeager, David S. O’Brien, Joseph M. Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title | Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title_full | Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title_fullStr | Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title_full_unstemmed | Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title_short | Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
title_sort | replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate |
topic | PNAS Plus |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6925985/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31767750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116 |
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