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Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate

In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Speci...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Bryan, Christopher J., Yeager, David S., O’Brien, Joseph M.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: National Academy of Sciences 2019
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6925985/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31767750
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116
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author Bryan, Christopher J.
Yeager, David S.
O’Brien, Joseph M.
author_facet Bryan, Christopher J.
Yeager, David S.
O’Brien, Joseph M.
author_sort Bryan, Christopher J.
collection PubMed
description In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Specifically, using data from an ongoing debate, we show that commonly exercised flexibility at the experimental design and data analysis stages of replication testing can make it appear that a finding was not replicated when, in fact, it was. The debate that we focus on is representative, on key dimensions, of a large number of other replication tests in psychology that have been published in recent years, suggesting that the lessons of this analysis may be far reaching. The problems with current practice in replication science that we uncover here are particularly worrisome because they are not adequately addressed by the field’s standard remedies, including preregistration. Implications for how the field could develop more effective methodological standards for replication are discussed.
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spelling pubmed-69259852019-12-23 Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate Bryan, Christopher J. Yeager, David S. O’Brien, Joseph M. Proc Natl Acad Sci U S A PNAS Plus In recent years, the field of psychology has begun to conduct replication tests on a large scale. Here, we show that “replicator degrees of freedom” make it far too easy to obtain and publish false-negative replication results, even while appearing to adhere to strict methodological standards. Specifically, using data from an ongoing debate, we show that commonly exercised flexibility at the experimental design and data analysis stages of replication testing can make it appear that a finding was not replicated when, in fact, it was. The debate that we focus on is representative, on key dimensions, of a large number of other replication tests in psychology that have been published in recent years, suggesting that the lessons of this analysis may be far reaching. The problems with current practice in replication science that we uncover here are particularly worrisome because they are not adequately addressed by the field’s standard remedies, including preregistration. Implications for how the field could develop more effective methodological standards for replication are discussed. National Academy of Sciences 2019-12-17 2019-11-25 /pmc/articles/PMC6925985/ /pubmed/31767750 http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116 Text en Copyright © 2019 the Author(s). Published by PNAS. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This open access article is distributed under Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial-NoDerivatives License 4.0 (CC BY-NC-ND) (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) .
spellingShingle PNAS Plus
Bryan, Christopher J.
Yeager, David S.
O’Brien, Joseph M.
Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title_full Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title_fullStr Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title_full_unstemmed Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title_short Replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
title_sort replicator degrees of freedom allow publication of misleading failures to replicate
topic PNAS Plus
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6925985/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31767750
http://dx.doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1910951116
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