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Assessing probabilistic predictions of ENSO phase and intensity from the North American Multimodel Ensemble
Here we examine the skill of three, five, and seven-category monthly ENSO probability forecasts (1982–2015) from single and multi-model ensemble integrations of the North American Multimodel Ensemble (NMME) project. Three-category forecasts are typical and provide probabilities for the ENSO phase (E...
Autores principales: | Tippett, Michael K., Ranganathan, Meghana, L’Heureux, Michelle, Barnston, Anthony G., DelSole, Timothy |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2017
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6934243/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31929688 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3721-y |
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