Predictive Factors of Intestinal Necrosis in Acute Mesenteric Ischemia

OBJECTIVES: Acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI) is a gastrointestinal and vascular emergency in which the detection of patients requiring intestinal resection is mandatory. METHODS: Registered data of 55 consecutive patients admitted to our center between January 2010 and December 2016 that underwent an explorative laparotomy for a suspected diagnosis of irreversible transmural intestinal necrosis (ITIN) were analyzed. Demographic, clinical, laboratory and CT findings were statistically analyzed in order to search predictive factors of ITIN and their correlation to its clinical spectre. RESULTS: Tobacco use was the most statistically significant (p<0.01) cardiovascular disease risk factor involved in ITIN. Among lab tests, Serum lactate levels ˃ 2mmol/L resulted in a statistically significant association with ITIN (p=0.0001). Organ failure (defined as Marshall score> 2) and the three main CT findings (decreased bowel wall enhancement, bowel loop dilation and demonstrated vessel occlusion) were strongly associated with ITIN (p values: 0.001, 0.007, 0.0013, 0.0005). Only serum lactate levels>2 mmol/L resulted as statistically significant as predictive factors of ITIN in multivariate analysis using logistic regression (OR 49.66 and p-value 0.0021). CONCLUSION: Our univariate and multivariate analysis identified multiple factors (Serum lactate levels ˃ 2mmol/L, Organ failure, CT signs) that could suggest patients that require a surgical approach for ITIN.