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Probabilistic projection of subnational total fertility rates
BACKGROUND: We consider the problem of probabilistic projection of the total fertility rate (TFR) for subnational regions. OBJECTIVE: We seek a method that is consistent with the UN’s recently adopted Bayesian method for probabilistic TFR projections for all countries and works well for all countrie...
Autores principales: | Ševčíková, Hana, Raftery, Adrian E., Gerland, Patrick |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
2018
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6961957/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/31942164 http://dx.doi.org/10.4054/DemRes.2018.38.60 |
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