Novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) early-stage importation risk to Europe, January 2020

As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Euro...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Pullano, Giulia, Pinotti, Francesco, Valdano, Eugenio, Boëlle, Pierre-Yves, Poletto, Chiara, Colizza, Vittoria
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control (ECDC) 2020
Materias:
Rapid Communication
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC7001240/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/32019667
http://dx.doi.org/10.2807/1560-7917.ES.2020.25.4.2000057
Descripción
Sumario:As at 27 January 2020, 42 novel coronavirus (2019-nCoV) cases were confirmed outside China. We estimate the risk of case importation to Europe from affected areas in China via air travel. We consider travel restrictions in place, three reported cases in France, one in Germany. Estimated risk in Europe remains high. The United Kingdom, Germany and France are at highest risk. Importation from Beijing and Shanghai would lead to higher and widespread risk for Europe.

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